Odaily星球日报讯 本周四，拜登和特朗普将在亚特兰大举行首次总统辩论，标志着 2024 年大选即将拉开帷幕。截至周一晚的赔率显示，特朗普的胜算高达 59%，而拜登仅为 34%。分析认为，Polymarket 可能捕捉到民意调查未察觉的趋势。不过，也有观点认为 Polymarket 存在偏差，因加密货币行业普遍偏向特朗普，导致样本不具代表性。此外，加密货币成为“特朗普交易”热点，可能加剧这一趋势。（Fortune）

财富：民调显示加密市场偏向特朗普，胜算率达59%

Odaily Odaily reported that on Thursday, Biden and Trump will hold their first presidential debate in Atlanta, marking the beginning of the 2024 election. As of Monday night, the odds showed that Trump&#39;s chance of winning was as high as 59%, while Biden&#39;s was only 34%. Analysts believe that Polymarket may have captured trends that polls have not noticed. However, there are also views that Polymarket is biased because the cryptocurrency industry generally favors Trump, resulting in an unrepresentative sample. In addition, cryptocurrency has become a hot spot for &quot;Trump trading&quot;, which may exacerbate this trend. (Fortune)

Wealth: Polls show the cryptocurrency market is leaning towards Trump, with a 59% chance of winning.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Bitfinex analysts believe that the expression of support for Trump by the Winklevoss brothers, the co-founders of the Gemini exchange, and Cathie Wood, is a strong signal of the crypto industry's recognition of Trump. The crypto and traditional finance communities increasingly see Trump as a US presidential candidate who supports innovation. The industry believes that Trump may be re-elected as the US president in November, which could mark the beginning of a more innovation-friendly transition for the US cryptocurrency industry and potentially promote the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies. (Cointelegraph)

Analysis: The crypto and traditional finance communities increasingly view Trump as a pro-innovation presidential candidate in the United States.

Odaily Odaily News According to a report by Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra, analysts at research brokerage firm Bernstein, despite bearish sentiment in the market in the short term, the structural adoption cycle remains unchanged. They predict that if the US election sentiment shifts further towards the country's Republican Party, cryptocurrency may become a new focus of the "Trump Trade", attracting more investors to the market. The report pointed out that the recent outflow of funds from Bitcoin spot ETFs and the potential disappointment in the prospects for the issuance of Ethereum spot ETFs have become two main arguments for the market's bearishness. However, analysts believe that the launch of Bitcoin ETFs has been a huge success, bringing increasing liquidity to the market. Despite the current outflow of funds for six consecutive trading days, analysts are still optimistic about its long-term potential and expect the market to usher in new growth points as more wealth advisors penetrate and configure growth. (TheBlock)

Bernstein: Cryptocurrency could be the new focus of the 'Trump trade'

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Bitfinex analysts stated that if Trump is re-elected as the US president in November, it could lead to a transformation of the US cryptocurrency industry towards more favorable conditions for innovation. Trump may also introduce more regulations that are beneficial to cryptocurrencies, and prioritize the establishment of a clear and supportive regulatory framework to encourage innovation and investment in the cryptocurrency sector, thereby driving increased adoption of digital assets and the more stable integration of cryptocurrencies into the financial system, which could potentially stimulate further growth in the industry. (Cointelegraph)