Odaily星球日报讯 三菱日联金融集团在一份报告中表示，由于最近美国经济数据走软，可能会增强市场对美联储降息的预期，美元似乎将在明年下跌。注意到周三弱于预期的 ISM 服务业报告和显示就业增长放缓的 ADP 私人就业数据，该行分析师 Lee Hardman 说：“总体而言，这些发展让我们更有信心，美国的通胀和增长将继续放缓，这将鼓励美国利率市场在未来一年消化美联储的更多降息。”他说，这是该行预期美元走软的一个关键假设。（金十）

三菱日联：美元明年或将下跌，经济数据疲软或推动降息预期

Odaily Odaily News Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group said in a report that the dollar looks set to fall next year as recent weaker U.S. economic data could strengthen market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Noting Wednesday&#39;s weaker-than-expected ISM services report and ADP private employment data showing slower job growth, Lee Hardman, an analyst at the bank, said: &quot;Overall, these developments give us more confidence that inflation and growth in the United States will continue to slow, which will encourage the U.S. interest rate market to digest more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve over the coming year.&quot; He said this is a key assumption in the bank&#39;s expectation of a weaker dollar. (Jinshi)

MUFG: The US dollar may fall next year, and weak economic data may boost expectations of interest rate cuts

Contents of this article
- Still need more confidence before cutting interest rates
- Could interest rates be cut in September?
- Market predicts the probability of interest rate cut in September
- Ball suggests the U.S. deficit should be dealt with sooner rather than later
According to CNBC, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell attended a central bank forum held in Sintra, Portugal, on the 2nd last night. He made dovish remarks at the forum, expressing his disapproval of the past year. Satisfied with progress in lowering annual inflation:
We have made considerable progress in getting inflation back to target, and the latest and previous inflation data show that we...

Will the Fed cut interest rates in September? Ball's latest remarks: The United States has made significant progress in fighting inflation, suggesting that it is time to reduce the deficit as soon as possible

The U.S. Federal Reserve yesterday released the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. The content shows that Fed officials are aware of signs that the U.S. economy is slowing down, but although inflation is heading in the right direction The direction is moving forward, but it is still not enough to start cutting interest rates. We need to wait for "more information" to gain confidence in cutting interest rates.
Officials participating in the meeting believed that monetary policy should be prepared to deal with unexpected economic weakness at any time, and also listed some economic data that can support the continued decline of inflation in the next year. These conditions include slowing wage growth, declining corporate pricing power, consumption Regarding prices...

Fed mouthpiece: The door is still open to cut interest rates in September, officials are satisfied with the progress in combating inflation, and U.S. stocks continue to rise

According to Mars Finance, Nick Timiraos, a reporter for the Wall Street Journal and known as the "Federal Reserve's mouthpiece," wrote in his latest article that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has put interest rate cuts back on the radar. Powell's speech highlighted a cautious optimism that had faded after the disappointing inflation data in April. He said the economy has made "significant progress," "real progress," and "considerable progress" in reducing inflation while achieving stable growth. But he remains cautious about rate cuts, suggesting that the Fed's chances of a rate cut at its meeting later this month remain slim. In addition, Powell declined to say whether he was preparing for a rate cut in September. "I'm not going to set any specific dates here today," he said.