In fact, all trading decisions come from the repeated recognition of experience; When you decide to enter the market at a certain position, it must be because you see a familiar sign or structure, which is similar to a successful transaction in your brain database. Only in this way will you decide to open a position; The reason why many people trade based on indicators such as RSI, MACD, and BOLL is essentially because these indicators have provided a large number of repeated reference sample cases in history and have statistically significant rules; A few simple questions: 1. A bull market will appear within a year after BTC halving. Is it considered a repeated recognition of experience? 2. The Fed's interest rate cut to 1% and the start of the balance sheet expansion will usher in a bull market. Is it considered a carving? 3. The RSI indicator is oversold continuously, and the price is likely to stop falling and rebound. Is it considered a carving? If the conclusions of the above questions can be regarded as a case of looking for a sword on a boat, then in theory all the trading decisions we make are based on experience-based behavior like this; Since all decisions need the support of experience or historical data rules, then looking for a sword on a boat is not only not a wrong behavior in the market, but a necessary behavior; So I think as long as you can find the rules under strong correlation, then it is a good case of looking for a sword on a boat, otherwise it is a far-fetched probability relationship, which is sometimes effective and sometimes ineffective; What do you think? This article is exclusively sponsored by #Pionex 派网3.0 | @pionex_zh Pionex is the most professional quantitative grid trading pionex.com/zh-CN/signUp?r=0i9Z...… Register here to enjoy 20% handling fee refund and KYC whitelist!