Odaily星球日报讯 美国短期利率期货在通胀数据公布后小幅上涨；交易员预计美联储将在 7 月维持利率不变，并在 9 月开始降息。现货黄金和美元指数 DXY 短线波动不大。（金十）

交易员预计美联储将在7月维持利率不变并在9月开始降息，美元指数DXY短线波动不大

Odaily Odaily News: US short-term interest rate futures rose slightly after the release of inflation data; traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in July and start cutting interest rates in September. Spot gold and the US dollar index DXY did not fluctuate much in the short term. (Jinshi)

Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in July and begin cutting rates in September, with the US dollar index DXY seeing limited short-term fluctuations.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Although the stronger-than-expected US second-quarter GDP data may alleviate some concerns about the economy, analysts point out that the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index exceeding the expected 2.9% may cause trouble for the Federal Reserve. Emma Wall of Hargreaves Lansdown said in a report: "Although this is above the target, it is declining, and combined with strong economic growth data, this reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week." "We expect the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England to cut interest rates in September, which will be a wave of interest rate cuts. For investors focused on the US stock market, we believe there are opportunities in small-cap stocks with better value, although the recent 'Magnificent Seven' have seen a pullback."

Analysis: The market will see a wave of interest rate cuts in September.

Odaily Odaily reported that Dudley, former chairman of the New York Federal Reserve, wrote that he has long been in the camp of "maintaining high interest rates for a longer period of time", believing that short-term interest rates must be kept at or above the current level to control inflation. But changes in circumstances have changed his mind. He now believes that the Fed should cut interest rates, preferably starting at the interest rate meeting next week.

Former New York Fed President: The Fed should cut interest rates immediately

According to the CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut in September has increased to 85.7%.