Odaily星球日报讯 机构经济学家表示，在下周会议上，大多数美联储官员可能会就一件事达成一致意见：美联储充分就业使命的下行风险与通胀的上行风险大致平衡。我们预计，官员们将普遍同意在不久后的某个时候降息是合适的，但在降息时间上可能存在细微分歧。（金十）

经济学家：美联储官员或对降息时间存在细微分歧

Odaily Odaily News Institutional economists said that at next week&#39;s meeting, most Fed officials are likely to agree on one thing: the downside risks to the Fed&#39;s full employment mission are roughly balanced with the upside risks to inflation. We expect officials to generally agree that it is appropriate to cut interest rates sometime in the near future, but there may be slight differences on the timing of the cut. (Jinshi)

Economists: Federal Reserve officials may have minor disagreements on the timing of rate cuts.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Next week, the market will welcome a "super central bank week", with the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, and the Federal Reserve all set to announce interest rate decisions. These three major central banks are likely to make or hint at major monetary policy decisions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision next Thursday, and the United States will also release the latest non-farm payroll data on Friday. Due to the remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, this data may be the key to whether the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates as expected in September.

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. PCE price index rose only 0.1% month-on-month in June and 2.5% year-on-year. The core PCE price index, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% month-on-month, slightly higher than the market forecast of 0.1%. Rubeela Farooqi, Chief U.S. Economist at High Frequency Economics, believes that "from the Federal Reserve's perspective, we believe the data shows sufficient progress, with inflation and labor market conditions sufficient to allow policymakers to open the door to a September rate cut at next week's FOMC meeting."

Analysts: The non-farm payroll data to be released next Friday may determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected in September.

According to Odaily, financial investment services company eToro analyst Bret Kenwell stated that the US June PCE report was largely in line with economists' expectations, and the core PCE index's year-over-year increase was only slightly higher than expected. Nevertheless, the report showed no signs that inflation would accelerate unexpectedly. Combined with the lower-than-expected CPI report earlier this month and the recent trend of lower inflation data, this should give the Federal Reserve the green light to cut rates later this quarter. At next week's Fed meeting, all eyes will be on Powell, as people hope and expect him to lay the groundwork for a rate cut in September. In recent years, the Federal Reserve has been very transparent, announcing its actions well in advance, increasing more certainty, and the market likes certainty.

Analysts: PCE data has paved the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later.

"I reiterate once again, on the first day of my term, I will dismiss Gary Gensler."