Odaily星球日报讯 接受《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家预计，在利率决定前公布的消费者信心指数和劳工成本指数将走软，而 ADP 数据预计将上升。周五公布的 7 月份非农就业人数或将减少，失业率将保持在 4.1%。10 年期美债收益率为 4.156%，接近本月早些时候触及的数月低点。2 年期美债收益率为 4.374%，回落至 2 月初的水平。在美联储做出利率决议之前，美债收益率下跌。预计美联储本次将维持利率不变，同时暗示可能在 9 月份降息。（金十）

美联储本周或暗示9月降息

Odaily Odaily News: Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect the consumer confidence index and labor cost index released before the interest rate decision to weaken, while the ADP data is expected to rise. Non-farm payrolls for July, released on Friday, may decrease, and the unemployment rate will remain at 4.1%. The 10-year Treasury yield is 4.156%, close to the multi-month low hit earlier this month. The 2-year Treasury yield is 4.374%, falling back to the level of early February. U.S. Treasury yields fell before the Fed made its interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged this time, while hinting that it may cut interest rates in September. (Jinshi)

The Federal Reserve may hint at a rate cut in September this week.

Over the past year since the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to their highest level in more than 20 years, it has successfully cooled the overheated US economy. However, higher borrowing costs have also had some unexpected effects. High-income households are benefiting from the rise in stock prices and housing prices. Businesses are borrowing rapidly, and consumers are continuing to spend. But in other respects, a year of high interest rates has finally started to take its toll. Americans are taking longer to find jobs, and the unemployment rate has also risen. Small businesses are feeling the pain of rising loan costs. Low-income households are falling behind on car loans and credit cards. Citigroup economist Veronica Clark said: "The economy has softened in recent months, and Federal Reserve officials will be very concerned about whether the economy is starting to soften more quickly. This will lead officials to cut rates more quickly."

Citigroup economists: Concerns that the Federal Reserve may start to ease the economy more quickly could accelerate rate cuts.

Table of Contents
- Bank of Japan
- FOMC Meeting of the US Federal Reserve
- Bank of England

Traders this week are closely watching whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates, as well as when and how much the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England will cut rates. This is related to the recent surge in the Japanese yen and the British pound, and the decline in US short-term bond yields. Due to the uncertainty surrounding policy and economic growth prospects, the cryptocurrency market may also experience synchronized volatility.

The following is a guide to the actions of central banks this week:

Bank of Japan
The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision at noon Taiwan time on Wednesday. Whether it will raise rates is closely watched, as the Bank of Japan has rarely adjusted rates in recent years...

48-hour "central bank frenzy" between the UK, US, and Japan will trigger a massive market wave.

It is expected that Bitcoin will ultimately reach a new high, but it may require support at the "macroeconomic" level. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on August 1 and the CPI report on August 14 will be crucial.