Odaily星球日报讯 Capital Economics 北美副首席经济学家 Stephen Brown 在一份报告中说，美联储可能会在本周改变措辞，以反映在下一次会议上降息的可能性越来越大，但怀疑会等到 8 月份的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上再更明确地预告降息举措。鲍威尔将在 8 月 22 日至 24 日于怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的会议上再次有机会谈论利率问题，届时来自全球各地的官员和经济学家将在会上讨论政策。（金十）

Capital Economics：美联储本周或改变措辞，但可能在8月更明确预告降息举措

Odaily Odaily News Capital Economics North America Deputy Chief Economist Stephen Brown said in a report that the Fed may change its wording this week to reflect the increasing possibility of a rate cut at the next meeting, but it is suspected that it will wait until the Jackson Hole Symposium in August to more clearly announce the rate cut. Powell will have another chance to talk about interest rates at the conference held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from August 22 to 24, when officials and economists from all over the world will discuss policy. (Jinshi)

Capital Economics: The Federal Reserve may change its wording this week, but it may give a clearer signal of its interest rate cut measures in August.

Odaily Planet Daily reported that PGIM's Chief U.S. Economist Porcelli stated that due to the slowdown in cyclical hiring over the past few months, the U.S. has shifted its focus from inflation to a loosening labor market, allowing the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates in September. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will announce an interest rate cut at tonight's meeting. Another rate cut is likely at the December meeting, and the possibility of a November rate cut cannot be ignored. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cumulatively cut interest rates by about 150 basis points by the end of 2025. (Gold Ten)

PGIM: The Federal Reserve is expected to cumulatively cut interest rates by about 150 basis points by the end of 2025.

Odaily Planet Daily reported that David Solomon, the CEO of Goldman Sachs Group, said in an interview on Tuesday that it seems more likely that the Federal Reserve will have one or two rate cuts later this year. Two months ago, Solomon still maintained the expectation of no rate cuts this year. (Jinshi)

Goldman Sachs CEO: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates one to two times this year.

According to the "Fed Watch" by CME, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged this week is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 87.7%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 12.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 0.2%. (Gold Ten)