Odaily星球日报讯 利率掉期市场显示，美联储 2024 年降息中有 50%的可能性为一次降息 50 个基点。（金十）

利率掉期市场显示，美联储2024年降息中有50%可能性为一次降息50个基点

Odaily Odaily News: The interest rate swap market shows that there is a 50% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in 2024. (Jinshi)

The interest rate swap market indicates a 50% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 basis points in 2024.

Odaily Planet Daily reported that the Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point rate cut on the evening of August 1st Beijing time, lowering the benchmark interest rate from 5.25% to 5%. This is the first rate cut by the Bank of England since March 2020, in line with market expectations.

The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, the first since March 2020.

The chief executive officer of the Aymara International Fund stated that the market strongly expects the United States to start cutting interest rates from September, but nothing is certain, and the interest rate cut next month will still depend on the economic data to be released. Inflation has been declining and is approaching the Federal Reserve's target, while high interest rates continue to put pressure on the economy and the job market. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but opened the door for a rate cut in September. The market currently expects there could be three rate cuts this year, and further rate cuts are expected by 2025.

The institution: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in September, but data remains key.

According to a report by Stephen Brown, North American Deputy Chief Economist at Capital Economics, the Federal Reserve may change its wording this week to reflect the increasing likelihood of a rate cut at the next meeting, but doubts that it will give a clearer signal of a rate cut until the Jackson Hole symposium in August. Powell will have another opportunity to discuss interest rates at the meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from August 22 to 24, where officials and economists from around the world will discuss policy.