Odaily星球日报讯 欧洲央行管委雷恩表示，如果对通胀放缓趋势的信心增强，降息可以继续，降息不会对我所担心的欧元区脆弱的增长和低迷的投资造成损害。（金十）

欧洲央行管委雷恩：若通胀放缓趋势信心增强，降息可以继续

Odaily Odaily reported that European Central Bank board member Rehn said that if confidence in the trend of slowing inflation increases, interest rate cuts can continue, and interest rate cuts will not damage the fragile growth and sluggish investment in the euro zone that I am worried about. (Jinshi)

European Central Bank Governing Council member Rehn: If the trend of slowing inflation strengthens confidence, rate cuts can continue.

TS Lombard US economist Steven Blit stated that if the Federal Reserve does not take action soon, people will look for signs that the economy is heading towards a recession, rather than looking for indicators of the recession itself. The emerging weak data is not a serious crime against growth, but it will create problems. If the Federal Reserve remains stagnant or remains idle waiting for the data to drive it, they will repeat the same mistakes, and the possibility of entering a recession later this year will rise to 75%. Given the expectation that the Federal Reserve will soon signal a 50 basis point rate cut in September, the actual possibility is smaller. By the end of the year, they may cut rates by 100 basis points. If the Federal Reserve takes action, the likelihood of a recession will be lower, but not zero. (Gold Ten)

Analysis: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut can reduce the likelihood of a recession, but it cannot reduce it to zero.

According to Odaily, Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon expects the Federal Reserve to avoid emergency rate cuts, as he believes the US economy will avoid a recession. Solomon said in an interview: "I don't expect to see any progress before September. The economy will develop steadily and may not experience a recession." Solomon stated, "Based on the current economic data and the information released by the Federal Reserve, I believe there may be one or two rate cuts in the fall of this year."

Goldman Sachs CEO: Expects the Federal Reserve not to cut interest rates urgently, and may cut interest rates 1-2 times in the fall.

According to a report by the Merrill Lynch Securities brokerage team, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September is a foregone conclusion, but there is no need for aggressive rate cuts that would lead to a significant economic recession. The rise in the unemployment rate in July was almost entirely due to temporary layoffs, indicating that the weakness is only temporary. The employment rate in the August report may rebound, and the unemployment rate may decline. They said: "Without layoffs, the United States will not experience an economic recession, and the layoff rate is still extremely low." Merrill Lynch believes that the rate cut cycle will begin in September, with a 25-basis-point cut each quarter until the terminal rate reaches 3.25%-3.5% in mid-2026. "A 50-basis-point or more aggressive rate cut is done in an emergency, and action is taken during the interval between meetings, but we are not at that stage yet."