Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarket 上预测卡马拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 赢得 2024 年美国总统选举的概率上升至 52%，特朗普赢得 2024 年美国总统选举的概率下降至 46%。

Polymarket上预测哈里斯当选概率升至52%，特朗普胜选概率降至46%

Odaily Odaily reported that Polymarket predicted that Kamala Harris&#39;s probability of winning the 2024 US presidential election has risen to 52%, and Trump&#39;s probability of winning the 2024 US presidential election has dropped to 46%.

Polymarket predicts that Harris's chances of winning have risen to 52%, while Trump's chances of winning have dropped to 46%.

The New York Times and Siena poll data show that Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in the key states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, with a 50% to 46% support rate in each state. Since President Biden announced that he will not run for re-election, the Democratic Party's situation has undergone a significant reversal. Although Harris still faces challenges on economic and immigration issues, her recognition of intellectual and governance capabilities among voters is higher than Trump's. The poll also shows that the Democrats have a slight advantage in the Senate elections in these three states.

Harris leads Trump by 50% to 46% in three key states in the United States.

According to the information on the official website, the prediction market PolyMarket has launched a new political category section, and the betting activities related to the US 2024 presidential election are currently at the top of the platform's rankings, with the US presidential election betting activity ranking first with $559 million in betting funds.

Prediction market PolyMarket has launched a new political section, with betting on the US presidential election reaching $559 million.

Odaily reports that the latest data from Polymarket shows that the prediction pool for the country with the most gold medals at the Paris Olympics has China's winning probability surpassing the United States. The current size of this prediction pool has reached $7.6 million, with China's probability of being the country with the most Paris Olympic gold medals rising to 56%, while the US has dropped to 44%.