Odaily星球日报讯 市场目光都投向本周美国的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告，交易员希望这将为美联储提供必要的弹药，以便在 9 月份的下次会议上开始降息。考虑到鲍威尔可能很快会在杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会上制定降息计划，交易员们质疑市场在他讲话时的走势是否会比通胀数据公布后更高。本月晚些时候鲍威尔的讯息可能会帮助投资者预测未来一年会有多少次降息，此前他在 7 月底暗示政策制定者可能会在 9 月会议上降低借贷成本。（金十）

交易员希望本周CPI数据支持美联储在9月份下次会议上开始降息

Odaily Odaily News: Markets are looking to this week&#39;s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with traders hoping it will give the Fed the necessary ammunition to start cutting interest rates at its next meeting in September. Given that Powell may soon lay out a rate cut plan at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, traders question whether the market will move higher when he speaks than after inflation data is released. Powell&#39;s message later this month may help investors predict how many rate cuts there will be in the coming year, after he hinted in late July that policymakers may lower borrowing costs at the September meeting. (Jinshi)

Traders hope that this week's CPI data will support the Federal Reserve in starting to cut interest rates at its next meeting in September.

Last week, the international market experienced an extremely turbulent week, with the global financial market experiencing violent fluctuations driven by the unwinding of the yen carry trade. The Nikkei index fell sharply by 12.4% on Monday, the S&P 500 index also fell by more than 4% at one point, and Bitcoin even plummeted 18%, falling to a low of $49,000. The major European indices also fell collectively.

With the release of a series of positive news, market sentiment has gradually recovered. Concerns about a US economic recession have eased, the Bank of Japan has taken a more dovish stance, and the unwinding pressure of the yen carry trade has also been alleviated. These factors have collectively driven the market rebound. The...

This week's major economic events: The US CPI and Japan's GDP data will be released.

Odaily Planet Daily News: According to the latest survey of economists by Bloomberg, nearly four-fifths of respondents expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by only 25 basis points in September, and the median estimate shows a 10% probability of an emergency rate cut before the September meeting. (Jinshi)

Bloomberg survey: The Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September.

Source: Cycle Capital Research
The most volatile week of 2019
Although the US stock market was basically flat for the week, the market was truly a roller coaster.
On Monday, there was a panic sell-off, on Tuesday a retaliatory rebound, on Wednesday a technical sell-off caused the market to plummet again, and on Thursday, the generally unimpactful decline in initial jobless claims triggered a market buy the dips frenzy, even though this data was not worth getting overly excited about, as the trend of continuing jobless claims has been clearly increasing. On Friday, the market continued the rebound trend, but the magnitude was reduced.
Over the past week, the stock market and the AR market...