Everyone is looking forward to the bull market now. Everyone is hoarding chips and has money to prepare to increase their positions. But because of this, the bull market may not come as expected. The bull market is often unexpected. It will come suddenly when you least expect it, not when everyone expects it to come.
Because the resources in this world are limited, and the distribution of resources is extremely uneven. High-quality resources usually only flow to the minority of 3%. I never deliberately wait for the bull market to come, but I know that the bull market will come eventually. But it will never be like you think, interest rates are cut, the market starts to release water, and the bull market begins.
The US interest rate cut is not actually a precursor to a bull market. Interest rate cuts often mean that assets that were previously profitable in a high interest rate environment begin to suffer huge losses. The more you make money before, the more tragic the loss will be after the interest rate cut. Look at now, people like Nvidia's boss, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Musk, Buffett, etc. have begun to sell stocks. They are holding cash, obviously preparing for a big drop in the market.
Nvidia has experienced a gap-down, which shows that big funds are cashing out at high levels. You don't think this is just a wash, do you? You don't need to spend money to learn this knowledge, you can learn it by just buying a few books. The crypto is highly U.S.-like, and it is impossible to be lucky forever. The interest rate cut shows that the market is already in danger, so the interest rate cut is needed. If the economic situation is good, they don't need to cut interest rates.
What is happening now is that two unemployed people found four part-time jobs, which resulted in four additional jobs. The non-farm payrolls data also looks strange. After two years of expectations, the market finally couldn't hold up. The US economy is likely to have a hard landing, which means that some people will be forced to go bankrupt to eliminate the bubble. In this case, if you use leverage, invest all your funds, and buy shit coin, when a financial crisis occurs, USDT itself may also have huge problems.
If a financial crisis occurs, the bank assets behind USDT may collapse. After the bank goes bankrupt, no one will provide you with redemption guarantees. Only after the bubble is removed can the market start again. The Altcoin plummeted and bottomed out ahead of time, which is a manifestation of the market withdrawing liquidity in advance.
Funds are always smarter than individuals. Those who are foresighted have already withdrawn liquidity and are ready to buy back in when the market recovers. I am not capable of doing macro research myself, I just interpret the market based on facts. As long as someone is adding positions and expecting the bull market to come, the bull market will not come as expected.
But those of us who invest regularly, hoard coins, and arbitrage don’t have to worry. You can earn more coins when the market falls, and you can earn more USDT when the market rises. Do a good job of position management, invest with spare money, and face black swan events without worrying at all. The beginning of the bull market is after the bubble is removed, and the interest rate cut is just the process of removing the bubble.
Finally, there are still many things that are not written down, such as specific opportunities and specific decisions. These things are often not something that can be summarized in one article.
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