Odaily星球日报讯 随着市场对美联储下月降息的预期越来越高，美联储很可能会兑现这一期望，华尔街大鳄 Peter Schiff 表示，将在 9 月看到降息，主要原因是市场现在指望 9 月的降息。这就是美股在周一遭抛售后反弹的原因。既然市场已经计入了 9 月降息的可能性，鲍威尔没有理由不兑现，他总是满足市场的预期，他不想在市场上造成意外。（金十）

Peter Schiff：市场现在指望9月降息，鲍威尔没有理由不兑现

Odaily Odaily News: As the market&#39;s expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates next month are getting higher and higher, the Fed is likely to deliver on this expectation. Wall Street tycoon Peter Schiff said that we will see a rate cut in September, mainly because the market is now counting on a rate cut in September. This is why US stocks rebounded after the sell-off on Monday. Since the market has already factored in the possibility of a rate cut in September, Powell has no reason not to deliver. He always meets market expectations and he doesn&#39;t want to cause surprises in the market. (Jinshi)

Peter Schiff: The market is now counting on a rate cut in September, and Powell has no reason not to deliver

From August 22 to 24, central bank governors and economists from around the world will gather for the annual Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a keynote speech at 10:00 AM Eastern Time on August 23 (10:00 PM Beijing time on Friday).

This week, global markets waited with bated breath for Powell's speech

Some Federal Reserve observers expect Powell will not make specific predictions for September, but will instead remind everyone that the Federal Reserve is now focusing more on employment issues, as the job market is weakening. The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate to maintain price stability and full employment. With the rise in the unemployment rate, the latter has become increasingly important and has put greater pressure on the Federal Reserve to take action. In July, the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since October 2021. Wilmington Trust bond portfolio manager Luke Tilley expects Powell will discuss the natural rate of interest, also known as the "neutral rate," which helps the Federal Reserve understand the actual constraints on its monetary policy.

Fed watchers don't expect Powell to make specific September forecasts

Peter Schiff, the founder of precious metals trading firm SchiffGold, has recently expressed his views on the US economy and the Federal Reserve's policies in his Podcast and X platform account. He believes that the Federal Reserve's policies over the past decades have made an economic recession inevitable. He suggests that the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates instead of cutting them, even if this leads to a market collapse, as this is a necessary correction for the economy:

"The right thing to do is to raise interest rates further and let things play out naturally. Of course, the stock market will crash. Real estate will crash. We will have a hard landing. This will be an economic recession."

He argues that this is the necessary correction that the economy needs.

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