Odaily星球日报讯 华尔街预测就业增长将被大幅下修。据估计，就业岗位将下修 60 万个到创纪录的 100 万个不等。假设华尔街是对的，那么这一结论将说明，劳动力市场并不像看上去那么强劲，它的降温速度比想象的要快得多。经济学家表示，如果数据的下修幅度足够大，这可能会促使美联储在 9 月份进行比华尔街目前预期更大的降息，也可能导致未来几个月更快地降息。（金十）

华尔街预测美国就业增长将被下修，或促美联储9月更大幅度降息

Odaily Odaily News Wall Street predicts that job growth will be significantly revised down. Estimates range from 600,000 jobs to a record 1 million. Assuming Wall Street is right, this conclusion will show that the labor market is not as strong as it seems, and it is cooling much faster than expected. Economists say that if the downward revision of the data is large enough, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to make a larger interest rate cut in September than Wall Street currently expects, and may also lead to faster interest rate cuts in the coming months. (Jinshi)

Wall Street forecasts that U.S. job growth will be revised down, which may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates more sharply in September

QCP Capital's latest report points out that it is widely rumored on Wall Street that the US employment growth data may be revised downward by at least 600,000, indicating that the US job market has not been as strong as expected over the past year. It is expected that Powell will express his views on this at the Jackson Hole annual meeting, but may not make a clear decision. A significant downward revision or particularly dovish stance could reverse the stock market rebound of the past two weeks and push BTC and ETH below support levels. Even if the revision is not large, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in September, and it is expected that there will be 3.7 interest rate cuts by 2024...

QCP Capital: The market has generally expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates in September

Former Chicago Fed President Evans said that Powell said the labor market is normalizing, wage growth is slowing, job vacancies remain healthy, and the unemployment rate is broadly consistent with policymakers' view of the Fed's 2% inflation target. If that were all, it would be good news. But history is not optimistic. As things stand, this does not appear to be the case, but it may only take one or two weak employment reports for aggressive rate cuts to be needed to counter the steadily rising unemployment rate. The longer the wait, the harder the actual adjustment will be. (Gold Ten)

Former Chicago Fed President: It may only take one or two weak employment reports to take aggressive rate cuts

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Credit Suisse, stated that the US dollar fell as investors expect Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to clearly signal an impending rate cut at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday, but the weakness seems to have gone too far. She said that the performance of the US economy is better than most other countries, and on this basis alone, the Federal Reserve has no reason to cut rates more aggressively than other central banks in the coming months. (Gold Ten)