Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarket 平台显示，当前预测 Telegram 创始人 Pavel Durov 于 8 月获释的概率下降至 26%。上周日此押注事件首次创建时概率为 50%，但用户在得知法国当局和司法程序将对他进行审前拘留后，此概率急剧下降。

Polymarket上预测“Pavel Durov于8月获释”概率降至26%

Odaily Odaily News Polymarket platform shows that the current prediction of the probability of Telegram founder Pavel Durov being released in August has dropped to 26%. The probability was 50% when the bet was first created last Sunday, but the probability dropped sharply after users learned that the French authorities and judicial procedures would detain him pretrial.

Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Pavel Durov being released in August" has dropped to 26%

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, Telegram founder and CEO Pavel Durov was arrested in France on Saturday, and Russian officials expressed "outrage" over the incident. The Russian embassy in France issued a statement earlier on Sunday, saying that the French authorities had refused their attempts to contact Durov. "After the news of Durov's detention appeared in the media, we immediately demanded that the French authorities clarify the reasons and ensure the protection of Durov's rights and provide consular access. To date, the French side has avoided this issue. We are in contact with Durov's lawyers," the translated statement read.

Some Russian officials claimed that the arrest was an indirect hostile act against Russia. There were reports that Durov holds dual citizenship of France and Russia, as well as France and the United Arab Emirates.

According to NPR, the Paris prosecutor's office stated that French officials are expected to respond to the arrest issue in a statement on Monday.

Telegram also issued its first statement on the arrest incident, saying "Telegram complies with EU laws, including the Digital Services Act," and that "Telegram CEO Pavel Durov has nothing to hide and travels frequently in Europe."

While some news outlets reported that Durov could face up to 20 years in prison, the initial French media reports did not mention this figure.

After Durov's arrest, many prominent figures in the crypto industry expressed their support for him, including X platform owner Elon Musk, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin (who noted that his views were based on the information available so far), TRON founder Justin Sun, and Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko.

WSJ: Russian officials see Pavel Durov's arrest as an indirect hostile act against the country

According to a Reuters report, Telegram founder and CEO Pavel Durov was arrested at an airport in northern Paris on Saturday and is expected to be charged with several allegations related to the operation of the platform. TON tokens plunged 16% from $6.8 to $5.62 as of the filing deadline.

The official statement confirmed that the TON community remains strong and fully operational.

Russia is working to clarify the situation.

Telegram founder Pavel Durov was replaced in France, TON fell 16%

As the Federal Reserve enters the initial phase of a rate cut cycle, it does not necessarily mean that a sharp rise is imminent, as there are still some risks that warrant caution.

Written by: Web3Mario

Summary: On August 23, 2024, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell officially announced at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting that "now is the time for policy adjustment. The direction forward is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on the upcoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks." This means that the nearly 3-year Federal Reserve tightening cycle is reaching a turning point. Barring any unexpected macroeconomic data, the first rate cut is expected to occur on September 19...