Odaily星球日报讯 市场分析师 Robert Howard 表示，哈里斯周二与特朗普进行了激烈的辩论，如果人们认为她赢得 11 月美国总统大选的可能性继续上升，则美元可能会进一步下跌。博彩市场显示，哈里斯现在比辩论前更有可能接替拜登，而特朗普的可能性变小。人们普遍认为，如果哈里斯而非特朗普当选总统，美国的通胀率可能会更低，美联储的降息周期可能会持续得更深更长，这可能会对美元不利。（金十）

分析师：如果“哈里斯交易”点火，可能烧到美元

Odaily Odaily News Market analyst Robert Howard said that Harris had a heated debate with Trump on Tuesday, and if people think that her chances of winning the US presidential election in November continue to rise, the dollar may fall further. Betting markets show that Harris is now more likely to succeed Biden than before the debate, while Trump is less likely. It is widely believed that if Harris is elected president instead of Trump, the US inflation rate may be lower, and the Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate cut cycle may last deeper and longer, which may be unfavorable to the US dollar. (Jinshi)

Analyst: If the Harris deal ignites, it could burn the dollar

In the just-concluded first televised presidential debate between the two candidates in the United States, the two candidates engaged in heated debates on issues such as the economy, immigration, abortion, and national security. Compared to his opponent Harris, Trump performed poorly. Harris put Trump on the defensive in the heated debate, as summarized by The New York Times. According to data from Polymarket, the probability of Harris winning the debate has reached 94% since the start of the debate, which seems to have hinted at the outcome of the debate. However, another Polymarket data shows that the winning rate of the two sides in the 2024 US presidential election is still relatively close, both around 49%. In addition, the latest poll shows that Harris' approval rating is 47.1%, slightly higher than Trump's 44.4%.

Although the two sides did not involve cryptocurrency in the debate, it can be seen as a reference trend that the price of Bitcoin plummeted in the short term during the debate, falling below $57,000. In contrast, when Trump and Biden debated in June, Bitcoin surged in the short term.

It is expected that the cryptocurrency market may face volatility in the short term, but the outcome is not yet certain. Harris, with a relatively short campaign time, still has more room to clarify her stance on a series of policies, especially her attitude towards cryptocurrency, which is more like a "blank slate" and remains to be observed. At present, the list of policy positions proposed by her future presidential administration does not mention cryptocurrency-related topics, only promising to support the development of the artificial intelligence industry and emphasizing the importance of cultivating "other cutting-edge industries of the future". A recent national public opinion survey by The New York Times and Siena College found that 28% of potential voters said they need to learn more about Harris.

It needs to be clarified that regardless of which president is elected, the rise of Web3 has already become a historical trend. For the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, they objectively need to strive for votes, but they need more to seize the historical merit of leading the Web3 technological revolution. Therefore, whoever becomes the US president in the future, they will ultimately firmly support Web3, which is an inevitable move in line with the historical trend.

HashKey Jeffrey: Trump-Harris presidential debate ends, cryptocurrencies may fluctuate in the short term

The debate is expected to focus on domestic economic policies, with Harris and Trump likely to clash on issues such as inflation, tariffs, and taxes.

Author: Li Xiaoyin, Wall Street Insider

Due to the disappointing US non-farm payroll data released last Friday, US stocks plunged. The S&P 500 index fell more than 1.7%, and the weekly decline exceeded 4%, marking the largest single-week drop in a year and a half.

In addition to concerns about the economic recession, the uncertainty surrounding the US election, which is entering its final stage, is also putting pressure on US stocks.

On Wednesday morning at 9:00 am Beijing time, presidential candidates Trump and Harris will hold the second debate for the 2024 election in Philadelphia.

Harris and Trump face off in their first debate. What is the market most concerned about?

Brief overview
- Trump and Harris will debate on September 10, which may impact the cryptocurrency market.
- Trump has pledged to support cryptocurrencies, attracting investor attention; Harris' stance on digital assets remains unclear.
- Meme coins associated with Trump have surged, indicating that cryptocurrency investors are betting on his successful debate performance.
Promotion
On September 10, 2024, US presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will hold a debate. The cryptocurrency community is closely watching, as the outcome of the debate may impact the overall health of the cryptocurrency market.
The following are what cryptocurrency investors should be aware of...