Odaily星球日报讯 据链上数据显示，比特币的周线 MACD 自 4 月以来一直为负，但比特币价格一直维持在 50,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间略微向下倾斜的通道中，形成“牛旗”形态，而不是急剧的下降趋势，这与持续的 MACD 信号相矛盾。指标数据显示，自 4 月底以来，MACD 持续看跌，加上旗形价格模式，暗示着表面的价格行为之下存在看涨情绪。表明卖方未能形成强劲的下跌趋势，即使在 8 月初的恐慌性抛售期间，也只是将价格压制到在 55,000 美元至 50,000 美元之间。而卖家的长期疲软意味着牛市可能突然复苏，迎来价格上涨。（Coindesk）

分析：旗形价格模式暗示比特币或在盘整结束后迎来上涨

Odaily Odaily News According to on-chain data, Bitcoin&#39;s weekly MACD has been negative since April, but the price of Bitcoin has remained in a slightly downward sloping channel between $50,000 and $70,000, forming a &quot;bull flag&quot; pattern, rather than a sharp downward trend, which contradicts the ongoing MACD signal. Indicator data shows that MACD has been bearish since the end of April, coupled with the flag price pattern, suggesting bullish sentiment beneath the surface price behavior. It shows that sellers have failed to form a strong downward trend, and even during the panic selling in early August, they only suppressed prices to between $55,000 and $50,000. The long-term weakness of sellers means that the bull market may suddenly revive and usher in price increases. (Coindesk)

Analysis: Flag price pattern suggests Bitcoin could rise after consolidation

Odaily reported that the cryptocurrency research firm 10x Research posted on the X platform, stating, "As expected in Monday's market update, Bitcoin rebounded sharply after a steep decline last week. Two of the three reversal indicators have recovered from oversold levels, suggesting the potential for a short-term rebound and counter-trend move. Bitcoin is expected to approach $58,000." This prediction has been confirmed, with Bitcoin now up 6% and trading at $57,600. In the absence of a clear bull market, trading Bitcoin has become more challenging in the current environment. On-chain analysis suggests that the bull market cycle has shortened, but there are still opportunities for disciplined traders who can accurately predict macroeconomic events and adapt to the constantly evolving Bitcoin market structure. Additionally, the report forecasts a rebound based on extreme bearish sentiment and the recovery of reversal indicators, identifying upcoming tactical events that are likely to force bearish traders to close their positions. Conversely, others will begin to establish new long positions in or around these events, in anticipation or around these events.

10x Research: The bull market cycle has shortened, and upcoming tactical events may force bearish traders to close their positions

The employment data released by the United States last week was lower than market expectations, which increased the concerns about the US economic recession. The Federal Reserve Board member made it clear on Saturday that the time has come to cut interest rates.

Daxian Talks About Coins: Bitcoin breaks through the 58,000 mark in the morning of September 10! The Fed's 50 basis point rate cut may be unfavorable to Bitcoin

The Bitcoin plummeted from around $57,000 on Friday, affected by the market's increased concerns about a US economic recession due to the August non-farm payroll data.