The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September has risen to 41%.

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On September 13, according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 59%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 41%.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points by November is 26.4%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 75 basis points is 50.9%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 100 basis points is 22.6%.

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