More and more talks about a 50bps rate cut next week.
It's  a cointoss currently between 25 &amp; 50 bps.
Although I think a 50bps is the best bet, I'm still unsure if the Fed would do it as it might also scare markets a bit.
Exciting week ahead that's for sure. 

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According to the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Federal Reserve Observation Tool, the bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points next week has risen from 28% yesterday to 43%, and US Treasury yields are expected to record a weekly decline. The CPI and PPI data released this week supported the expectation of a moderate performance of the PCE data at the end of this month, causing some investors to expect the Federal Reserve to be more concerned about employment issues. At the same time, The Wall Street Journal reported that officials are considering a more aggressive monetary easing policy as they believe inflation has been brought under control and are concerned about employment issues. The 10-year US Treasury bond is trading around 3.657%, and the 2-year US Treasury bond is 3.598%. (Gold Ten)

CME Fed Watch: Bet on a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed next week rises again to 43%

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its latest interest rate decision at 2 a.m. Taiwan time this Thursday (19th). As investors' expectations for a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve have risen again, U.S. stocks rose across the board on September 13, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices closing in the green for five consecutive days, reversing the previous week's weak performance and recording the largest weekly gain so far this year.

The Federal Reserve's decision between a 25-basis-point or 50-basis-point cut is a 50-50 proposition.

This week, major central banks including the U.S., UK, and Japan will hold policy meetings, with the Federal Reserve's decision being the most closely watched by the market. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, Fed officials are debating whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at their meeting this week.

Super Central Bank Week is here! The market predicts that the price will drop by 1 or 2 yards in five or five waves. Can Bitcoin stabilize the US$60,000 mark?

Elmar Voelker, a senior fixed income analyst at LBBW (Baden-Württemberg Bank), said in a report that the new interest rate expectations, or dot plot, to be announced by the Federal Reserve at its meeting next week, are unlikely to be in sync with the currently heated rate cut expectations. He stated: "It seems at least doubtful whether the forecast adjustments can keep up with market expectations." This also applies to the 2025 forecast. Voelker said the dot plot could become a "potential stumbling block for rising bond prices." The market is speculating that the Federal Reserve may make a significant 50-basis-point rate cut next week, but the bank's recent forecast only suggests a 25-basis-point rate cut this year. (Jinshi)