Odaily星球日报讯 美元在亚洲交易时段小幅下跌，因为金融市场预计联邦公开市场委员会本周降息 50 个基点的可能性更高。 不过，澳洲联邦银行（CBA）外汇策略师 Kristina Clifton 表示，由于日本和中国市场因公共假日休市，市场流动性仍然很稀薄。她说，联邦基金利率期货市场显示，美联储降息 50 个基点的可能性为 60%，而上周五的预测是 50%左右。 Clifton 补充称，美元本周可能走低，因全球宽松周期打压避险货币。不过，如果美联储的鸽派预期在此次会议中落空，美元可能会在本周晚些时候反弹。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 美元在亚洲交易时段小幅下跌，因为金融市场预计联邦公开市场委员会本周降息 50 个基点的可能性更高。不过，澳洲联邦银行（CBA）外汇策略师 Kristina Clifton 表示，由于日本和中国市场因公共假日休市，市场流动性仍然很稀薄。她说，联邦基金利率期货市场显示，美联储降息 50 个基点的可能性为 60%，而上周五的预测是 50%左右。Clifton 补充称，美元本周可能走低，因全球宽松周期打压避险货币。不过，如果美联储的鸽派预期在此次会议中落空，美元可能会在本周晚些时候反弹。（金十）

CBA：投资者对美联储降息50个基点的押注升温

The US dollar fell slightly in the Asian trading session, as financial markets expect a higher likelihood of the Federal Open Market Committee cutting rates by 50 basis points this week. However, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) foreign exchange strategist Kristina Clifton said that market liquidity remains very thin due to the Japanese and Chinese markets being closed for public holidays. She said the federal funds futures market indicates a 60% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 basis points, compared to around 50% last Friday. Clifton added that the US dollar may weaken this week as the global easing cycle weighs on safe-haven currencies. However, if the dovish expectations of the Federal Reserve are not met in this meeting, the US dollar may rebound later this week.

Odaily Odaily News: The US dollar fell slightly during the Asian trading session as financial markets expected a higher probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Open Market Committee this week. However, Kristina Clifton, a foreign exchange strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), said that market liquidity remained thin as the Japanese and Chinese markets were closed for public holidays. She said the federal funds rate futures market showed a 60% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, compared with a forecast of around 50% last Friday. Clifton added that the dollar could fall this week as the global easing cycle weighed on safe-haven currencies. However, if the Fed&#39;s dovish expectations are dashed at this meeting, the dollar could rebound later this week. (Jinshi)

CBA: Investors bet on a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve

According to the report from Gold Ten, after the release of the US CPI report earlier this week, the market almost believed that the Federal Reserve would make a slight rate cut of 25 basis points this month, but the situation reversed rapidly from Thursday. At that time, former New York Fed President Dudley said the Federal Reserve had reason to cut rates by 50 basis points next week, and the reporter from The Wall Street Journal, known as the "Federal Reserve News Agency", and the Financial Times also reported that the Federal Reserve was facing a difficult choice between cutting rates by 50 basis points or 25 basis points, and subsequently the market's bet on the Federal Reserve making a significant rate cut next week rose significantly to a "fifty-fifty" chance. Next week there will be many key events:
Monday 20:30, US September New York Fed Manufacturing Index;
Tuesday 20:30, US August Retail Sales MoM;
Wednesday 14:00, UK August CPI MoM, UK August Retail Price Index MoM;
Thursday 2:00, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook summary;
Thursday 2:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference;
Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending September 14, US September Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index;
Friday 11:00, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision;
Friday 14:30, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda will hold a monetary policy press conference.

Outlook for next week: The Federal Reserve leads the "Super Central Bank Week", Powell holds a monetary policy press conference

The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting this week, and the interest rate decision will be announced at 2:00 AM Taiwan time on 9/19. Last week, the three major U.S. stock indexes all closed higher on expectations of a rate cut, with the S&P 500 rising 4% for the week and the Nasdaq index surging 5.9%, both posting their best weekly gains of the year. Gold hit a new high last week, and it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin, known as digital gold, can follow in gold's footsteps and ride this wave of capital market sentiment.

Table of Contents
- The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting this week
- BTC once broke through $60,000, ETH/BTC...

The Federal Reserve is about to start a cycle of interest rate cuts this week. Is Bitcoin expected to follow gold and reach new highs?

Ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be announced this Thursday in Taiwan time, the market is highly focused on the "retail sales data" to be released in the US tomorrow night, which is known as the "terrifying data" of economic indicators and may have a significant impact on market sentiment and the direction of the Federal Reserve's decision.
Note: The US August retail sales will be announced at 8:30 pm on the 17th.
Higher chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut
UBS said they are closely monitoring retail sales and industrial production data, and if these data show weakness, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to choose a larger rate cut, lowering it by 50 basis points,...

"Terrorist data" is coming tomorrow night, UBS: Weak consumption will cause the Fed to cut interest rates by 100 basis points before the end of the year