Odaily星球日报讯 Bitwise 欧洲研究主管 André Dragosch 表示：“如果美联储降息 50 个基点，加密市场反应可能会是积极的，因为这一特定的领先指标已经表明，9 月份潜在的经济势头甚至有所加速，我认为，未来几个月市场将更多地受到降息预期而非降息本身的驱动。由于美国经济疲软和即将到来的衰退，进一步降息的预期可能会加剧，我们预计这将对比特币和加密资产产生净利好。”（Theblock）

Bitwise分析师：美联储进一步降息预期加剧，对加密资产净利好

Odaily Odaily News: André Dragosch, head of European research at Bitwise, said: &quot;If the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, the crypto market reaction may be positive, because this particular leading indicator has shown that the potential economic momentum in September has even accelerated. I think the market will be driven more by expectations of rate cuts than rate cuts themselves in the coming months. Due to the weak US economy and the impending recession, expectations of further rate cuts may intensify, and we expect this to have a net positive effect on Bitcoin and crypto assets.&quot; (Theblock)

Bitwise analyst: Expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve intensify, which is a net positive for crypto assets

The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting on the 17th and 18th of the month in Eastern Time, and will announce the latest interest rate policy around 2 a.m. Taiwan time on the 19th. It appears that a rate cut is a foregone conclusion, the key question is whether it will be a 25 or 50 basis point cut.

FedWatch data shows that the current market expectation is a 43% probability of a 25 basis point cut, and a 57% probability of a 50 basis point cut. A rate cut is generally seen as a major positive for risk assets like Bitcoin, as it will bring significant liquidity to the market. However, many experts are also concerned that if the cut is 50 basis points...

Will Bitcoin plummet if the Fed drops 2 digits? You should pay more attention to the two key points after the Fed’s decision

Bond traders once again believe that Federal Reserve policymakers are more likely to cut rates by 50 basis points rather than 25 basis points at their meeting this week. Swap contracts linked to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision show that the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 basis points this week exceeds 50%, compared to last week when traders almost completely ruled out this possibility. This has pushed the yield on the two-year US Treasury back to its lowest level in two years and dragged the US dollar index to its lowest level since January. 

Rabobank senior US strategist Philip Marey wrote that he expects the Federal Reserve to implement a standard 25 basis point rate cut. "Powell's lack of guidance may indicate that the FOMC has not yet reached a consensus. More importantly, retail sales on Tuesday could still change market expectations." (Gold Ten)

Swap contracts show that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has exceeded 50%

The market was relatively stable for most of last week, but by Friday, the market's expectation of a 50-basis-point rate cut in September suddenly surged from around 15% to about 50%, and there was almost no clear news to explain this change. The economic data was largely in line with expectations and was not a factor, and the Federal Reserve was still in a silent period, which led market participants to speculate that this repricing may have been triggered by comments from former Federal Reserve officials and journalists...