크립토브리핑에 따르면 탈중앙 예측시장 플랫폼 폴리마켓 유저들이 금주 금리인하 가능성을 99%로 점치고 있다. 이들은 25bp 금리인하를 예상하고 있다. 미국 연방준비제도(연준)는 오는 17~18일 FOMC를 열고 기준금리를 결정한다.

폴리마켓 유저 "미 연준 금주 금리인하 가능성 99%"

According to Crypto Briefing, users of the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket are predicting a 99% chance of a rate cut this week. They are expecting a 25bp rate cut. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold the FOMC on the 17th and 18th to decide on the base interest rate.

Polymarket User: "99% Chance of Fed Rate Cut This Week"

The forecasts related to the September meeting are particularly valuable, as there are only two meetings left this year, in November and December.

Author: He Hao, Wall Street View

On Tuesday, the well-known financial journalist Nick Timiraos, known as the "New Federal Reserve News Agency," wrote that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates, but the magnitude of the first rate cut is still in doubt. The Federal Reserve usually tends to act in increments of 25 basis points, but this time, the situation has become more complex.

Timiraos bluntly stated that the current federal funds rate is 5.25%-5.5%, which is at the ...

"New Fed News Agency" Ultimate Preview September Meeting: The situation is complicated, and the extent of the first rate cut remains in doubt

Traders betting on Fed fund contracts are pricing in a 65% implied probability of rates cut to a 4.5-5% range. PLUS: Circle announces partnership with Polymarket

Bitcoin Holds Above $60K as Traders Warn of Sell-Off on 50 Basis Point Fed Rate Cut

Tencent News "Telescope", author: Ji Zhenyu
On September 18th, US time, the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis-point rate cut at its closely watched September policy meeting, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate from 5.25%-5.5% to 4.75%-5%.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at the press conference that day that this is the beginning of a series of rate cuts. His remarks clearly announced that the Federal Reserve is officially ending the monetary tightening cycle that began in 2021 and entering a new cycle of monetary easing policy.
This magnitude significantly exceeded market expectations, and also increased market expectations for future economic...