Odaily星球日报讯 亚洲市场早盘，金价小幅走高。 Tickmill 分析师 Joseph Dahrieh 表示，受美元疲软和美联储大幅降息预期升温的推动，黄金价格仍接近历史高位。Dahrieh 表示，近期美国就业市场数据显示经济放缓，这增加了降息 50 个基点的可能性。Dahrieh 还说，美国 11 月大选前的政治不确定性上升，也提升了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 亚洲市场早盘，金价小幅走高。Tickmill 分析师 Joseph Dahrieh 表示，受美元疲软和美联储大幅降息预期升温的推动，黄金价格仍接近历史高位。Dahrieh 表示，近期美国就业市场数据显示经济放缓，这增加了降息 50 个基点的可能性。Dahrieh 还说，美国 11 月大选前的政治不确定性上升，也提升了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。（金十）

市场分析：美联储降息50个基点预期和大选提振金价

In the Asian market this morning, gold prices rose slightly. Tickmill analyst Joseph Dahrieh stated that driven by the weakening of the US dollar and the rising expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, gold prices are still near historical highs. Dahrieh said that recent US employment market data showing economic slowdown has increased the possibility of a 50-basis-point rate cut. Dahrieh also said that the rising political uncertainty ahead of the US November election has also increased the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.

Odaily Odaily News: Gold prices rose slightly in early Asian trading. Tickmill analyst Joseph Dahrieh said that driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the rising expectations of a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, gold prices are still close to historical highs. Dahrieh said that recent US job market data showed an economic slowdown, which increased the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut. Dahrieh also said that the increase in political uncertainty before the US November election has also increased the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. (Jinshi)

Market analysis: Expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve and the election boost gold prices

Odaily reported that Mitsubishi UFJ stated that even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points this week, the US dollar will find it difficult to achieve a sustained recovery. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group analyst Lee Hardman said in a report that even if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates by 25 basis points, it may further cut rates in future meetings, especially if the labor market continues to remain weak. He said this means "people may still believe that it is only a matter of time before the Federal Reserve needs to accelerate the pace of rate cuts."

MUFG: The Fed's 25 basis point rate cut this week will hardly boost the dollar

According to data released on Tuesday, US retail sales unexpectedly rose in August, suggesting the US economy remained on a solid footing for most of the third quarter. Institutional analysts analyzing the US retail sales data said it is unlikely to have a significant impact on this week's FOMC policy report. The market has been debating the extent of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. As signs of a slowdown in the labor market emerge and the inflation rate falls to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, the market has tended to price in a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is 67%, while the probability of the Federal Reserve choosing a smaller 25-basis-point rate cut is 33%. (Jinshi)

U.S. August retail sales released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 67%

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