Odaily星球日报讯 CEX.IO 首席分析师 Illia Otychenko 表示，虽然降低利率通常会利好比特币等风险资产，但投资者应该将重点将放在美联储的前瞻性指引上。即使美联储选择降息 50 个基点，市场的反应也可能取决于美联储主席鲍威尔对未来货币政策行动的评论。如果没有明确的前瞻性指引，机构投资者也许会减少风险敞口，这可能会抑制比特币的看涨势头。（Decrypt）

分析师：比特币投资者应该将重点将放在美联储的前瞻性指引上

Odaily Odaily News CEX.IO Chief Analyst Illia Otychenko said that while lower interest rates are generally good for risky assets such as Bitcoin, investors should focus on the Fed&#39;s forward-looking guidance. Even if the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the market&#39;s reaction may depend on Fed Chairman Powell&#39;s comments on future monetary policy actions. Without clear forward-looking guidance, institutional investors may reduce their risk exposure, which may curb Bitcoin&#39;s bullish momentum. (Decrypt)

Analyst: Bitcoin investors should focus on the Fed's forward guidance

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sharply this week, but they are likely to be disappointed, as the performance of the US economy does not really warrant aggressive rate cuts. According to the CME's Fed Watch tool, current US interest rate futures prices show a 65% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut and a 116 basis point rate cut this year. However, a series of economic data on Tuesday prompted the Atlanta Fed to raise its forecast for US third-quarter GDP growth from 2.6% to 3.0%, indicating that the economy is not as bad as it seems. After weighing all the factors, the Federal Reserve may cut rates by 25 basis points, and Powell may reiterate his data-dependent stance. The Fed's dot plot is unlikely to confirm the current pricing of aggressive and rapid rate cuts, but rather show a more measured pace of rate cuts. This may be interpreted as a "hawkish cut", forcing those who have hastily bet on a large rate cut to cover their positions. (Jinshi)

Market Analysis: The Fed may disappoint extremely dovish investors

ChainCatcher news, Bitfinex Alpha's latest report states that thanks to a significant increase in Bitcoin ETF inflows, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, surging over 15% from its recent low of $52,756. Over the past week, BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of $403.9 million, reversing the long-term capital outflows and indicating that investor confidence in the asset has been rekindled. This rebound has been primarily driven by positive buying pressure in the spot market. In contrast, the volatility in the futures and perpetual contract markets has been less pronounced, suggesting that the current price increase is based on genuine capital inflows rather than speculative leverage, providing a more sustainable foundation for the rebound.

The analysis suggests that the market is likely to experience significant volatility this week, driven by investor expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Whether the rate cut is 25 or 50 basis points, it may oscillate between bullish optimism and cautious risk-off sentiment. At the same time, the correlation between Bitcoin and stocks is increasing, indicating that the performance of traditional financial markets may have an increasingly significant impact on Bitcoin's price.

Bitfinex report: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Bitcoin faces volatility risks

Table of Contents
- Cryptocurrency market trends after interest rate cut
- Franklin Securities: A 25 basis point cut is optimal
- Bridge Capital founder: Bitcoin may reach $100,000 by the end of the year
- BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes: Financial markets may see a financial collapse similar to 8/5
- Asymmetric hedge fund founder: A 25 basis point cut will lead to a decline, a 50 basis point cut will lead to an increase

The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting on the 17th and 18th Eastern Time, and will announce the decision around 2 AM Taiwan time on Thursday (19th).