Odaily星球日报讯 英国央行将于今晚公布政策决定，人们普遍预计央行将维持利率不变，在此之前，英镑兑美元 GBP/USD 小幅走高。 荷兰国际集团分析师 Francesco Pesole 在一份报告中指出，通货膨胀还没有缓解到需要进一步降息的程度。他表示，人们认为英国央行比美联储更加谨慎，这对英镑走强起到了推波助澜的作用。“今天的会议之后，这一点应该不会改变。”Pesole 表示，英镑兑美元可能在本周末前升至 1.33 上方，而欧元兑英镑可能跌至 0.84 下方。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 英国央行将于今晚公布政策决定，人们普遍预计央行将维持利率不变，在此之前，英镑兑美元 GBP/USD 小幅走高。荷兰国际集团分析师 Francesco Pesole 在一份报告中指出，通货膨胀还没有缓解到需要进一步降息的程度。他表示，人们认为英国央行比美联储更加谨慎，这对英镑走强起到了推波助澜的作用。“今天的会议之后，这一点应该不会改变。”Pesole 表示，英镑兑美元可能在本周末前升至 1.33 上方，而欧元兑英镑可能跌至 0.84 下方。（金十）

荷兰国际：英国央行尚未达到降息条件，将比美联储更加谨慎

The Odaily Planet Daily Report states that the Bank of England will announce its policy decision tonight, and people generally expect the central bank to keep interest rates unchanged. Prior to this, the GBP/USD exchange rate has risen slightly. In a report, ING analyst Francesco Pesole pointed out that inflation has not eased enough to require further rate cuts. He said that people believe the Bank of England is more cautious than the Federal Reserve, which has helped strengthen the pound. "This is not expected to change after today's meeting," Pesole said, adding that GBP/USD may rise above 1.33 before the end of the week, while EUR/GBP may fall below 0.84.

Odaily Odaily: The Bank of England will announce its policy decision tonight, and it is widely expected that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged. Before that, the pound sterling GBP/USD rose slightly. In a report, Francesco Pesole, an analyst at ING Group, pointed out that inflation has not eased to the extent that further interest rate cuts are needed. He said that people believe that the Bank of England is more cautious than the Federal Reserve, which has contributed to the strength of the pound. &quot;After today&#39;s meeting, this should not change.&quot; Pesole said that the pound sterling may rise above 1.33 against the US dollar before the end of this week, while the euro against the pound may fall below 0.84. (Jinshi)

ING: The Bank of England has not yet met the conditions for a rate cut and will be more cautious than the Fed

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Morgan Stanley expects the Bank of England to vote 6:3 to keep interest rates unchanged. However, the policy wording may see a dovish adjustment, hinting that action may be taken in November. "Considering all the data since August and the scale of the existing restrictive measures, we believe the market's pricing for a rate cut in September should be slightly higher. But even so, we still believe the probability of a rate cut will not exceed 30%." Morgan Stanley expects the Bank of England's QT next year to be £100 billion, up from the previous estimate of £90 billion, but still believes the risk is tilted to the downside. "November is a key meeting for the Bank of England this year, and we expect it to lay the groundwork for a faster pace of rate cuts, as the disinflationary momentum in service prices is strengthening. We expect rate cuts in November and December, with the bank rate reaching 3.25% by August next year."

Morgan Stanley: Bank of England's policy language may be slightly dovish

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to the analysis of Deutsche Bank, after the European Central Bank lowered the deposit rate by 25 basis points last week, other central banks will announce their policy decisions this week. Most decisions are likely to keep interest rates unchanged - except for the most important one. If the Federal Reserve does not start a rate cut cycle on Wednesday, that would be a big surprise. Volkmar Baur, an analyst at the bank, pointed out: "At the beginning of this week, the market expects the possibility of the Federal Reserve's first major rate cut to be slightly higher than 50%. Our economists still expect a 25 basis point rate cut, which is well-justified." "However, a small first step does not rule out bigger moves later. That's why the current risk bias is towards a weakening of the US dollar."

Commerzbank: The Fed’s “small step” cannot rule out subsequent “big moves”

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Nordea Bank, a Swedish bank, looks ahead to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, stating that the market has not yet determined the extent of the Fed's first rate cut. The bank expects the Fed to be inclined to cut rates by 25 basis points, but expects it to hint that this is just the first step in a series of rate cuts. The bank expects the Fed members to forecast two more rate cuts of 25 basis points each in November and December, and another 100 basis points of cuts next year, for a total of 175 basis points of cuts. The bank said: "If our forecast is correct, the Fed's performance over the next year will be very different from market expectations, which could lead to disappointing results." However, the message from Fed Chairman Powell will be that the Fed will take action as needed to support a soft landing, and will open the door to more frequent and larger rate cuts. (Jinshi)