据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为43.9%，降息50个基点的概率为56.1%。到12月累计降息50个基点的概率为15.6%，累计降息75个基点的概率为48.3%；累计降息100个基点的概率为36.1%。

<p>据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为43.9%，降息50个基点的概率为56.1%。到12月累计降息50个基点的概率为15.6%，累计降息75个基点的概率为48.3%；累计降息100个基点的概率为36.1%。</p>

美联储11月降息25BP的概率为43.9%

According to the CME "FED Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting by 25 basis points in November is 43.9%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 56.1%. The probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut by December is 15.6%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 48.3%; the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point cut is 36.1%.

<p>According to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot;, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 43.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 56.1%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by December is 15.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 48.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 36.1%.</p>

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 43.9%.

Chicago Federal Reserve Chairman Goolsbee recently emphasized that in order to achieve a "soft landing" for the US economy, the Federal Reserve needs to further cut interest rates over the next year and gradually return to a neutral interest rate level.

(Background: Yellen: The US economy is resilient and has achieved a soft landing, or may do so after Biden steps down as Treasury Secretary)

(Additional background: The US economy will not have a hard landing. Federal Reserve officials support Powell's gradual interest rate cuts to avoid a ceasefire)

Although US inflation has shown a clear decline and there are signs of a weakening labor market, the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 50 basis points last week, and interest rates are still at their highest level in nearly 20 years.

Chicago Fed President: The market needs more interest rate cuts to achieve a soft landing for the economy and protect labor employment

Source: WOO X Research

On September 19, 2024, the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 50 basis points (bps), reducing the federal funds rate to between 4.75% and 5%. Interest rate cuts are an important tool used by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy during periods of economic slowdown or recession. Let's take a look at WOO X Research to see what impact the interest rate cut will have on the cryptocurrency market in the next stage.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut means a reduction in the benchmark interest rate, which typically has a series of important impacts on the economy. For example, the lower borrowing costs can encourage businesses and individuals to increase their spending and investment, potentially boosting economic growth. Additionally, lower interest rates can make it more attractive for investors to allocate funds to riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies, as the opportunity cost of holding these assets decreases.

With interest rate cuts coming, can cryptocurrencies rise in the financial storm?

With the news of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, the cryptocurrency market has begun to end the previous "prolonged" period of volatility and has slowly started to rise again: Bitcoin briefly surpassed $64,750, and Ethereum briefly approached $2,700. At the same time, many ancient cryptocurrency whales who had previously disappeared from the public eye have gradually resurfaced in recent times, and even miners' wallets that started Bitcoin mining as early as 2009 have begun to transfer their on-chain assets, making people feel anxious about the future market direction. Some even exclaimed: "This cycle may be the last bull market for retail investors."