Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 11 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 39.7%，降息 50 个基点的概率为 60.3%。

CME美联储观察：美联储11月降息50个基点的概率升至60.3%

Odaily Odaily reported that according to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot; data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 39.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 60.3%.

CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November has risen to 60.3%

Odaily reported that Federal Reserve Governor Goolsbee stated that it is reasonable to start cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The Federal Reserve is returning to its normal dual mandate mode, and the current interest rate level is hundreds of basis points higher than the neutral rate. Before the recent rate cuts, the decline in inflation meant that the Federal Reserve has been tightening policy. If the situation continues, there will be a large number of rate cuts in the next 12 months, and there is still a long way to go before the interest rate can be lowered to a level close to the neutral rate.

Fed's Goolsbee: There may be a lot of rate cuts in the next 12 months, and it is reasonable to start with a 50 basis point rate cut

Authors: Edward Bolingbroke, Anya Andrianova, Bloomberg; Translated by: Bai Shui, Jinse Finance

The debate over the expected rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November is intensifying, as officials begin to weigh their next steps and traders increase their bets on futures closely linked to the central bank's trajectory.

On Tuesday, US consumer confidence data came in weaker than expected, leading investors to lean more towards a half-percentage-point rate cut for the second consecutive time in the November 7 decision. The result is that this has essentially become a coin-toss game in the swap market, with another...

Traders increase bets on Fed, but November rate cut is hard to predict

Odaily Planet Daily reported that U.S. President Biden stated that the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates. (Jinshi)