Tesla CEO Elon Musk forwarded the latest data from the US prediction market Polymarket on his personal social platform today (7th), showing that Republican presidential candidate Trump leads the Democratic Party by 3% in the betting market Vice presidential candidate Harris Harris. Because Polymarket involves real money transactions, many analysts believe that the predictions of this type of market tend to be more accurate than traditional polls.
Trump's Pennsylvania rally: Musk shows up to support
On October 5, Trump returned to Butler County, Pennsylvania, where he was nearly shot nearly three months ago, and held a rally there. What is remarkable is that Musk personally appeared at the conference and publicly expressed his support for Trump. He appreciated Trump's resilience after being shot and said: "This is a man who showed courage in a hail of bullets!" He emphasized the importance of freedom of speech: "Freedom of speech is the cornerstone of democracy! This is Why is it the First Amendment!"
2024 US Presidential Election Prediction Market Analysis
According to the latest prediction market data, the total trading volume of the 2024 US presidential election reached $1.35 billion, and the market will end on November 4, 2024. Currently, Republican candidate Trump has an approval rating of 50.8%, while Democratic candidate Kamala Harris has an approval rating of 48.4%.
In user comments, Trump supporters emphasized "Make America Great Again", supported him in protecting assets, opposed illegal immigration, and believed that he would promote stock and cryptocurrency investments. On the other hand, Harris supporters support policies such as "Universal Basic Income" (Universal Basic Income), "Green New Deal" (Green New Deal) and "Medicare for All" (National Health Insurance), and believe that she will provide illegal immigrants with More support to lead America to a brighter future.
