据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为91.1%，维持当前利率不变的概率为8.9%，降息50个基点的概率为0%。到12月维持当前利率不变的概率为2.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为29.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为68.3%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0%。

<p>据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为91.1%，维持当前利率不变的概率为8.9%，降息50个基点的概率为0%。到12月维持当前利率不变的概率为2.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为29.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为68.3%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0%。</p>

美联储11月降息25BP的概率为91.1%

According to the CME "FED Watch", the probability of the FED cutting by 25 basis points in November is 91.1%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 8.9%, and the probability of cutting by 50 basis points is 0%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 2.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points cut is 29.5%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points cut is 68.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis points cut is 0%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 91.1%

Here is the English translation, with the content inside <> not translated:

The Mars Finance news reported that on October 22, <2024 FOMC voter and President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Daly> stated that the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates to prevent further weakening of the labor market.

Daly said at the <Wall Street Journal TechLive conference> held in Laguna Beach, California on Monday that "so far, I have not seen any information indicating that we will not continue to lower interest rates. For an economy that has already embarked on a 2% inflation rate path, this is a very tight interest rate, and I do not want to see the labor market deteriorate further."

She added that the goal is to achieve a "soft landing", that is, to reduce the inflation rate to 2% and maintain a healthy labor market, with wage levels keeping up with price increases. She said that as the inflation rate declines, the Federal Reserve needs to continue to lower the policy interest rate, otherwise it may make the policy overly tight and harm the labor market.

Fed's Daly: Expect the Fed to continue cutting interest rates to prevent further weakening of the labor market

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Fed's Dai said the Fed will continue to adjust its policy. The recent Fed rate cut was a "narrow victory." I strongly support a 50-basis-point rate cut. The policy for the Fed's November meeting will be decided based on data. So far, we have not seen any signs that we will not continue to cut rates. If inflation continues to decline, even if the economy performs strongly, I hope to maintain an open attitude and continue to ease policy. He also said that in the Silicon Valley Bank incident, what was not noticed was the "concentration risk" of its customer network. An independent central bank is an advantage. The Fed has not incorporated artificial intelligence as part of its policy work. The Fed's current work on artificial intelligence is to understand how other institutions use artificial intelligence and its impact on the economy. (Gold Ten)

Fed's Daly: The Fed's policy at the November meeting will be determined based on data, and artificial intelligence is not considered as part of policy work

Odaily Planet Daily News: Fed's Logan: If the economy meets expectations, it is expected to gradually cut interest rates (Golden Ten Data APP)