Odaily星球日报讯 本周五即将公布的美国非农就业报告是美联储下周召开政策会议前的最后一份就业市场报告，但这份数据将很难解析。随着通胀基本趋向美联储的目标，官员们现在更加关注逐渐降温的劳动力市场。美联储理事沃勒本月早些时候表示，就业报告“不容易解读”，但他预计飓风和波音公司罢工将使就业增长减少 10 万以上。美联储已经进入会前噤声期，预计美联储将在此次会议上降息 25 个基点。 穆迪公司的首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）表示，政策制定者将从容应对这些数据，并继续把重点放在降低利率上，因为目前的利率水平被普遍认为会对经济产生抑制作用。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 本周五即将公布的美国非农就业报告是美联储下周召开政策会议前的最后一份就业市场报告，但这份数据将很难解析。随着通胀基本趋向美联储的目标，官员们现在更加关注逐渐降温的劳动力市场。美联储理事沃勒本月早些时候表示，就业报告“不容易解读”，但他预计飓风和波音公司罢工将使就业增长减少 10 万以上。美联储已经进入会前噤声期，预计美联储将在此次会议上降息 25 个基点。穆迪公司的首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）表示，政策制定者将从容应对这些数据，并继续把重点放在降低利率上，因为目前的利率水平被普遍认为会对经济产生抑制作用。（金十）

美联储进入政策会议前的噤声期，预计将降息25基点

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The U.S. non-farm payroll report to be released this Friday is the last employment market report before the <AR> Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week, but this data will be difficult to interpret. As inflation is essentially trending towards the <AR> Federal Reserve's target, officials are now more focused on the gradually cooling labor market. <AR> Federal Reserve Governor Waller said earlier this month that the employment report is "not easy to interpret," but he expects that hurricanes and the Boeing strike will reduce employment growth by more than 100,000. The <AR> Federal Reserve has entered the pre-meeting silent period, and it is expected that the <AR> Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi said policymakers will calmly respond to this data and continue to focus on lowering interest rates, as the current interest rate level is widely believed to have a suppressive effect on the economy. (Gold Ten)

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The U.S. non-farm payroll report to be released this Friday is the last employment market report before the <AR> Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week, but this data will be difficult to interpret. As inflation is essentially trending towards the <AR> Federal Reserve's target, officials are now more focused on the gradually cooling labor market. <AR> Federal Reserve Governor Waller said earlier this month that the employment report is "not easy to interpret," but he expects that hurricanes and the Boeing strike will reduce employment growth by more than 100,000. The <AR> Federal Reserve has entered the pre-meeting silent period, and it is expected that the <AR> Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi said policymakers will calmly respond to these data and continue to focus on lowering interest rates, as the current interest rate level is widely believed to have a suppressive effect on the economy. (Gold Ten)

The Fed is entering a blackout period before its policy meeting and is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points

The global financial heavyweights gathered at the "Future Investment Initiative" conference in Saudi Arabia seem to suggest that the market's bet on the Federal Reserve's rate cut may have gone too far. When asked whether they believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates twice more this year, none of the panelists, which included representatives from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Standard Chartered, KKR, Apollo Global Management, and State Street, raised their hands. Most agreed that the Federal Reserve may cut rates once more by the end of 2024. Larry Fink, CEO of <BlackRock>, said at the "Future Investment Initiative" forum in Saudi Arabia that he expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by at least 25 basis points this year.

Global financial leaders believe that the Fed will not cut interest rates twice this year

Here is the English translation, with the content inside <> left untranslated:

The Federal Reserve's mouthpiece: Trump's election could reignite inflation
US bond yields rise to 4.28%
Why are US bond yields continuing to rise?

The United States officially announced a 2-point rate cut in September this year, the first rate cut since 2020, which excited the market. The market is now closely watching whether the Fed will further cut interest rates in the remaining two meetings this year.

<The Federal Reserve's mouthpiece: Trump's election could reignite inflation>
One of the key factors in whether the Federal Reserve can successfully cut interest rates is: the United States must continue to move towards a 2% inflation rate.

However, the <Fed>...

Federal Reserve's mouthpiece: Trump's election may trigger a "resurgence of inflation" crisis! U.S. Treasury yields hit 3-month high

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to market forecasts, data to be released by the US Department of Commerce on Wednesday will show that the seasonally adjusted and inflation-adjusted <Gross Domestic Product (GDP)> grew at a robust annualized rate of 3% in the third quarter, unchanged from the previous value. If this expectation materializes, it will mark the 10th consecutive quarter of expansion for the US economy. At the same time, the market also expects the report to show that the <core PCE price index> in the third quarter will slow sharply from the previous 2.8% to 2.1%, approaching the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target. The Federal Reserve uses the PCE price index included in the GDP estimate as its main inflation indicator. Another driver for the Federal Reserve's policy rate cut is inflation, with the core PCE price index in the second quarter likely to be increasingly close to the Federal Reserve's target. Citigroup expects US GDP growth to be lower than expected, at only 2.6%, but expects the inflation indicator for the quarter to reach the 2% target, a figure that may help consolidate the Federal Reserve officials' decision to only cut by 25 basis points next week. (Jinshi)