Odaily星球日报讯 匿名交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 于 X 发文表示，比特币的价格可能会波动至少 10%，具体取决于哪位美国总统候选人在 11 月 5 日赢得大选。 IG Markets 分析师 Tony Sycamore 在 11 月 4 日投资报告中写道，比特币需要“持续突破”74,000 美元的阻力位，才能确认上涨趋势，并可能大幅上涨至 80,000 美元。 Sycamore 同时警告称，交易员应谨慎行事，BTC 跌破 65,000 美元支撑位的“持续回落”将表明上周的反弹失败，可能会回到七个月的下行趋势通道。（Cointelegraph）

Odaily星球日报讯 匿名交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 于 X 发文表示，比特币的价格可能会波动至少 10%，具体取决于哪位美国总统候选人在 11 月 5 日赢得大选。IG Markets 分析师 Tony Sycamore 在 11 月 4 日投资报告中写道，比特币需要“持续突破”74,000 美元的阻力位，才能确认上涨趋势，并可能大幅上涨至 80,000 美元。Sycamore 同时警告称，交易员应谨慎行事，BTC 跌破 65,000 美元支撑位的“持续回落”将表明上周的反弹失败，可能会回到七个月的下行趋势通道。（Cointelegraph）

分析：比特币将根据美国大选结果“上下”波动至少10%

Odaily Planet Daily reported that anonymous trader Daan Crypto Trades posted on X that the price of <BTC> could fluctuate at least 10%, depending on which U.S. presidential candidate wins the election on November 5. IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a November 4 investment report that <BTC> needs to "persistently break through" the $74,000 resistance level to confirm the uptrend and could surge significantly to $80,000. Sycamore also warned that traders should be cautious, as a "persistent decline" of <BTC> below the $65,000 support level would indicate that last week's rebound has failed, potentially returning to a seven-month downtrend channel. (Cointelegraph)

Odaily Planet Daily reported that anonymous trader Daan Crypto Trades posted on X that the price of <BTC> could fluctuate at least 10%, depending on which U.S. presidential candidate wins the election on November 5. IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a November 4 investment report that <BTC> needs to "continuously break through" the $74,000 resistance level to confirm the uptrend and could surge significantly to $80,000. Sycamore also warned that traders should be cautious, as a "sustained decline" of <BTC> below the $65,000 support level would indicate that last week's rebound has failed, potentially returning to a seven-month downtrend channel. (Cointelegraph)

Analysis: Bitcoin will fluctuate at least 10% "up or down" depending on the results of the US election

Odaily Planet Daily reported that crypto analyst <PlanB> posted on social media that "the closing price of Bitcoin in October was $70,231, slightly lower than the monthly closing price of $71,285 in March. Get ready for the US election."

PlanB: Getting ready for the US election

Here is the English translation, with the content inside <> not translated:

Bitcoin breaks below $69,000 again
Over $102 million in liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours
The probability of a 75 basis point rate hike by the Fed reaches 99%

The U.S. presidential election is set to officially arrive on November 5th local time, and with many market investors betting on a Trump victory, related concept stocks and Bitcoin have been on the rise. However, Citi analysts recently believe that the Trump trade may have reached a point of profit-taking.
Citi points out: The Trump trade performed very strongly in October, but they now see potential gains have diminished, and the risk-reward...

Profit taking in the “Trump trade”? Bitcoin falls below $69,000 again, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will hit next week

According to the latest report from QCP Capital, Trump's interview on the <JOE Rogan Experience> podcast, released a week before the election, has received over 32 million views, pushing his odds on Polymarket to over 66%. While cryptocurrencies have been dubbed the "Trump trade," the correlation between Bitcoin and Trump's odds seems to be weakening, as Bitcoin is currently attempting to break above $70,000 and surpass its July highs. Bitcoin has only gained 8% this month, lower than the average 21%. If the spot price remains at current levels, October 2022 will be the fourth-worst performing month for Bitcoin in the past decade. As the market awaits the election results next week, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin can break above $70,000. The report advises caution, as no surprises are expected in the core PCE data on Thursday and the nonfarm payroll data on Friday. Currently, the total open interest in Bitcoin perpetual contracts across exchanges has reached $27 billion, nearing this year's peak. If Bitcoin breaks above $70,000, it could trigger new highs, especially with more leveraged long participants.