Odaily星球日报讯 当地时间 11 月 3 日上午，美国前总统、共和党总统候选人特朗普在与美国广播公司（ABC）华盛顿首席记者 Jonathan Karl 的电话访谈中表示，他已经“大幅领先”，并预测选举之夜就将知道获胜者是谁。 据报道，访谈期间卡尔问特朗普，这位前总统是否认为自己可能会败选。“是的，我想，你知道的。”特朗普回答说。“我猜可能会输。我是说，这种事是可能会发生的，对吧？”但他转而又说：“但我认为我领先优势明显，不过，你也可以说，对，你可能会输。不好的事情可能会发生。你知道，事情总是这样，但会很有意思。”至于自己何时会就选举结果向全国发表讲话，特朗普说：“我会在（选举日）适当的时候出现。”（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 当地时间 11 月 3 日上午，美国前总统、共和党总统候选人特朗普在与美国广播公司（ABC）华盛顿首席记者 Jonathan Karl 的电话访谈中表示，他已经“大幅领先”，并预测选举之夜就将知道获胜者是谁。据报道，访谈期间卡尔问特朗普，这位前总统是否认为自己可能会败选。“是的，我想，你知道的。”特朗普回答说。“我猜可能会输。我是说，这种事是可能会发生的，对吧？”但他转而又说：“但我认为我领先优势明显，不过，你也可以说，对，你可能会输。不好的事情可能会发生。你知道，事情总是这样，但会很有意思。”至于自己何时会就选举结果向全国发表讲话，特朗普说：“我会在（选举日）适当的时候出现。”（金十）

特朗普称目前“大幅领先”但也有可能败选，将在选举日适当的时候发表讲话

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to local time on the morning of November 3, former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump said in a telephone interview with ABC News Washington chief correspondent Jonathan Karl that he has "a significant lead" and predicted that the winner will be known on election night. It was reported that during the interview, Karl asked Trump whether the former president believed he might lose the election. "Yes, I think, you know," Trump replied. "I guess I might lose. I mean, that's possible, right?" But he then said, "But I think I'm way ahead, but, you can say, yes, you might lose. Bad things can happen. You know, that's the way it is, but it will be very interesting."As for when he will make a speech to the nation on the election results, Trump said, "I'll be there at the appropriate time."(Jinshi)

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to local time on the morning of November 3, former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump said in a telephone interview with ABC Washington chief reporter Jonathan Karl that he has "a significant lead" and predicted that the winner will be known on election night. It is reported that during the interview, Karl asked Trump whether the former president believes he may lose the election. "Yes, I think, you know," Trump replied. "I guess I might lose. I mean, that's possible, right?" But he then said, "But I think I'm way ahead, but, you know, you could say, yes, you might lose. Bad things can happen. You know, that's the way it is, but it will be very interesting."As for when he will make a speech to the nation on the election results, Trump said, "I'll be there at the appropriate time."(Jinshi)

Trump said he is currently "leading by a large margin" but could lose the election and will make a speech at an appropriate time on Election Day

[United States]
November 5th is the presidential election day in the United States, and it will also be a day that will profoundly impact the global situation for the next four years. In this upcoming U.S. election, the voters' choice will affect the policy direction of the United States, China's policy response, as well as the trends of cryptocurrencies and the stock market.
This explainer post will provide detailed information on the election mechanism, timeline, winning probabilities, and the public's perception of the candidates. Through these analyses, whether you are an enthusiastic election observer or an investor interested in the cryptocurrency market, you will gain a deeper understanding of the current political situation and its potential impact on the future economy.

A must-read before the US election on November 5: Here are all the twists and turns you need to know

According to the report by Forbes, the latest poll results show that the US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris is leading the former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump by a slim margin of 1%, but 10% of voters may change their minds before the election. Furthermore, in the seven key swing states that could determine the final winner of the election, Harris is leading Trump with a support rate of 49% to 48%, while a week ago Trump was leading Harris with a support rate of 50% to 46%.

US poll: Harris leads Trump by a narrow margin of 1%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Before the US presidential election to be held on Tuesday, all major prediction markets continue to predict that former President Trump has a higher chance of winning than Vice President Harris. However, according to data from ElectionBettingOdds.com, Trump's average probability of winning in the prediction market has decreased by 3.8% in the past week. On <Kalshi> and <Polymarket>, Trump's probability of winning has dropped by more than 10% from its historical high. As of the time of writing, Trump's odds on <Polymarket> have dropped from the high of 71.5% on July 16 to 59.1%, while his odds on <Kalshi> have dropped from the high of 65.2% on October 29 to the current 55% (Kalshi's prediction market went live on October 4). On Saturday, Trump's probability of winning on <Polymarket> once dropped to 57.1% (15 percentage points behind Harris' 42.8%), and then rebounded slightly. Election observers are closely watching the early voting results and late polls, one of which showed that Harris is leading among Puerto Ricans in Florida after comedian Tony Hinchcliffe spoke at Trump's rally at Madison Square Garden last week. On <Polymarket>, Harris is also leading in Wisconsin and Michigan, two swing states seen as key to winning. The prediction market posted on <The Block> that "Harris is making progress".