Odaily星球日报讯 美联储 11 月利率决议将于本周五凌晨 3：00 公布，距离下一次 FOMC 会议还剩余约 3 天 10 小时。据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储到 11 月降 25 个基点的概率为 99.8%，维持当前利率不变的概率为 0.2%。

CME“美联储观察”：美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为99.8%

Odaily Odaily reported that the Federal Reserve&#39;s November interest rate decision will be announced at 3:00 a.m. this Friday, and there are about 3 days and 10 hours left before the next FOMC meeting. According to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot;, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering the interest rate by 25 basis points by November is 99.8%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 0.2%.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 99.8%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to a research report by China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the U.S. non-farm data in October was weak and fell short of expectations, partly affected by the impact of hurricanes and strikes. Hurricanes forced a large number of people to evacuate, significantly reducing the response rate of corporate surveys, resulting in a sharp drop in employment in the leisure and accommodation service industries, and a surge in the number of people unable to go to work due to weather reasons. Strikes also led to a significant contraction in manufacturing employment. However, these are temporary disturbances, and their impact may be reversed in the coming months. Overall, the U.S. labor market is still gradually cooling, and there are no signs of a rapid deterioration. Considering the overall economic data, it is predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, and monetary policy will continue to return to normal, but the pace of interest rate cuts will not be as aggressive as the market previously expected. (Gold Ten)

CICC: Taking into account the overall economic data, it is predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to a research report by CITIC Securities, the U.S. non-farm payroll growth in October 2024 was lower than expected, with healthcare services and government sectors being the main contributors, while durable goods manufacturing and temporary help services were the main drags. The October non-farm data was significantly disrupted by the impact of Hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as the Boeing strike. Overall, the U.S. job market is moderately weakening, but wage growth remains robust and there is no sign of large-scale corporate layoffs, indicating a healthy job market. The October non-farm data continues to provide evidence for a "soft landing," and we maintain our previous judgment that the Federal Reserve will have two more 25bps rate cuts this year. (Gold Ten)

CITIC Securities: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps twice this year

The global investors are holding their breath, awaiting the results of the U.S. presidential election on the 5th. According to Bloomberg statistics, central banks of about 20 countries accounting for more than one-third of the global GDP will announce their interest rate decisions this week after the election vote, although the election results have not yet been determined. However, the market generally expects that the Federal Reserve and most central banks will cut interest rates again in the coming week.

<BlockTempo - The Most Influential Blockchain News Media>Global central banks' interest rate decision schedule this week. Source: Bloomberg

20 central banks to announce interest rate decisions this week
Before the November 5 election day, the Republican...

20 central banks announced interest rate decisions this week! The Fed's interest rate cut coincides with the U.S. election, is the market going to be a huge wave?