Odaily星球日报讯 投资者们正在期待美联储主席鲍威尔本周将利率下调 25 个基点，以使降息计划照常进行，尽管存在一些顽固的通胀迹象，以及关于就业市场的混合信号。摩根大通首席经济学家 Michael Feroli 在一份报告中表示：“本周的 FOMC 会议是一个令人耳目一新的简单决定，降息的理由仍然有效。”美联储观察人士预计，鲍威尔将在 9 月份大幅降息之后，达成围绕小幅降息的共识。（金十）

美联储观察人士预计鲍威尔达成围绕小幅降息的共识

Odaily Odaily News Investors are expecting Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week to keep the rate cut plan on track despite some stubborn signs of inflation and mixed signals about the job market. &quot;This week&#39;s FOMC meeting was a refreshingly simple decision, and the reasons for the rate cut remain valid,&quot; said Michael Feroli, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase, in a report. Fed watchers expect Powell to reach a consensus around a small rate cut after a big rate cut in September. (Jinshi)

Fed watchers expect Powell to build consensus around small rate cut

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Brian, the long-term strategist and head of Wind Shift Capital Advisors, said he expects the stock market to experience turbulence in the next 12 months. This is because the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates to very low levels as the market expects, and borrowing costs are likely to rise from now on. This may suppress lending, slow down investment, and cause the US and global stock markets to fall by 7%-12%. "I believe the crisis we face is that when interest rates start to rise, the government will not be able to continue to stimulate the economy in a rising interest rate environment, as they have lost the support of the market," Brian said. Brian's forecast may be counterintuitive to investors who have been pricing in a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. However, he said the US economy faces too much inflationary pressure in the medium term, so the Federal Reserve cannot be guaranteed to adopt an aggressive easing policy. (Jin Shi)

Senior Wall Street strategist: Inflation will not disappear, and the Fed is not expected to cut interest rates significantly

Odaily Planet Daily News: The Federal Reserve's November interest rate decision will be announced this Friday at 3:00 am, with about 3 days and 10 hours left until the next FOMC meeting. According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting by 25 basis points in November is 99.8%, and the probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged is 0.2%.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 99.8%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Sonja Marten, an analyst at the German Central Cooperative Bank, said in a report that Trump's victory could reduce the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, thereby benefiting the US dollar. She said that Trump's tariff and immigration plans are expected to trigger inflation, while tax cuts will lead to short-term economic prosperity. "All of this will greatly reduce the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. In this case, the US dollar is expected to show a significant and positive reaction." (Gold Ten)