Odaily星球日报讯 花旗分析师贾巴兹·马塔伊表示，以目前的市场赔率来看，押注美联储不会在 12 月再次降息是有吸引力的。 市场普遍预计美联储本周将降息 25 个基点，但鉴于最近一系列强劲的经济数据，这可能是美联储今年的最后一次降息。他的最新报告建议进行掉期交易，交易员同意支付 4.404%的固定年化利率，并获得随美联储目标利率浮动的利息。如果美联储在 12 月不降息，在年底前将利率维持在 4.5%-4.75%之间，这一交易将获得回报。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 花旗分析师贾巴兹·马塔伊表示，以目前的市场赔率来看，押注美联储不会在 12 月再次降息是有吸引力的。市场普遍预计美联储本周将降息 25 个基点，但鉴于最近一系列强劲的经济数据，这可能是美联储今年的最后一次降息。他的最新报告建议进行掉期交易，交易员同意支付 4.404%的固定年化利率，并获得随美联储目标利率浮动的利息。如果美联储在 12 月不降息，在年底前将利率维持在 4.5%-4.75%之间，这一交易将获得回报。（金十）

花旗：美联储12月跳过降息的押注具有吸引力

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Citi analyst Jabaz Matai said that based on the current market odds, it is attractive to bet that the Fed will not cut rates again in December. The market generally expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but given the recent series of strong economic data, this may be the last rate cut by the Fed this year. His latest report recommends a swap trade where traders agree to pay a fixed annual rate of 4.404% and receive interest that floats with the Fed's target rate. If the Fed does not cut rates in December and keeps the rate between 4.5%-4.75% by the end of the year, this trade will generate a return. (Gold Ten)

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Citi analyst Jabaz Matai said that based on the current market odds, it is attractive to bet that the Fed will not cut rates again in December. The market generally expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but given the recent series of strong economic data, this may be the last rate cut by the Fed this year. His latest report recommends a swap trade where traders agree to pay a fixed annual rate of 4.404% and receive interest that floats with the Fed's target rate. If the Fed does not cut rates in December and keeps the rate between 4.5%-4.75% by the end of the year, this trade will generate a return. (Jinshi)

Citigroup: Bets on Fed skipping rate cut in December attractive

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Brian, the long-term strategist and head of Wind Shift Capital Advisors, said he expects the stock market to experience turbulence in the next 12 months. This is because the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates to very low levels as the market expects, and borrowing costs are likely to rise from now on. This may suppress lending, slow down investment, and cause the US and global stock markets to fall by 7%-12%. "I believe the crisis we face is that when interest rates start to rise, the government will not be able to continue to stimulate the economy in a rising interest rate environment, as they have lost the support of the market," Brian said. Brian's forecast may be counterintuitive to investors who have been pricing in a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. However, he said the US economy faces too much inflationary pressure in the medium term, so the Federal Reserve cannot be guaranteed to adopt an aggressive easing policy. (Jin Shi)

Senior Wall Street strategist: Inflation will not disappear, and the Fed is not expected to cut interest rates significantly

Odaily Planet Daily News: The Federal Reserve's November interest rate decision will be announced this Friday at 3:00 am, with about 3 days and 10 hours left until the next FOMC meeting. According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting by 25 basis points in November is 99.8%, and the probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged is 0.2%.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 99.8%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Morgan Chase analyst <DavidKelly> said that if Trump wins the US election this week, the Federal Reserve may suspend its loose cycle as early as December. Kelly believes that Trump's expansionary fiscal policy plan will drive up inflation and prevent interest rates from falling. He said, "If Trump wins the election, he will adopt a more expansionary fiscal policy, which may trigger a trade war, the deficit will expand, and interest rates will also rise." Kelly also said that the Federal Reserve will almost certainly cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the interest rate decision on Friday, even if the election is held before that.