Odaily星球日报讯 “美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos 撰文称，美联储官员们现在面临一个问题，即大选结果是否会导致经济需求或通胀发生有意义的变化，从而需要采取不同的政策路径？Timiraos 表示，在了解当选总统特朗普在税收、关税和移民方面的改革建议之前，官员们不会改变他们的政策方针。但如果共和党也赢得国会两院的控制权，他们可能会在 12 月的会议上开始修改一些基本假设。（金十）

美联储传声筒：如果共和党控制国会两院，美联储12月可能修改基本假设

Odaily Odaily News: Nick Timiraos, the &quot;Federal Reserve Mouthpiece,&quot; wrote that Federal Reserve officials are now facing a question: Will the election results lead to meaningful changes in economic demand or inflation, requiring a different policy path? Timiraos said officials will not change their policy approach until they understand President-elect Trump&#39;s reform proposals on taxes, tariffs and immigration. But if the Republicans also win control of both houses of Congress, they may begin to revise some basic assumptions at the December meeting. (Jinshi)

Fed mouthpiece: If Republicans control both houses of Congress, the Fed may revise its basic assumptions in December

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to High Frequency Economics analyst, between the presidential election day and the inauguration day, the Federal Reserve still has two meetings, but it is expected to be cautious in avoiding the impact of expectations on the future White House policy on its interest rate decision. The Federal Reserve can only set monetary conditions based on the policies and budgets established by law or the orders of the executive department. In the midst of intense election campaigns, it cannot reformulate policies based on rapidly changing promises. Even by December, the intentions of the winning candidate may be clearer, but these still need to be implemented through congressional legislation or executive orders. (Jinshi)

Agency: The Federal Reserve does not seem to be affected by the election

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Although the Federal Reserve has been trying to distance itself from politics as much as possible until 2024, the US presidential election on Tuesday is crucial for the Federal Reserve and its chairman Powell. The next US president will fill several vacant positions, and Powell's term as Federal Reserve chairman will end in May 2026, so Trump or Harris will be able to choose the next leader of the Federal Reserve. Mark Spindel, chief investment officer of Potomac River Capital and a historian who studies the Federal Reserve and politics, said in a recent interview that this is "an important crossroads for the Federal Reserve." He added that if the Trump team wins, they will clearly be "very proactive." During his presidency, Trump often attacked Powell and openly pushed the central bank to act according to his wishes, even hinting at negative interest rates, and Trump has hinted that if he wins a second term, he may do even more. Federal Reserve policymakers will also have the opportunity to discuss these impacts this week, as the FOMC will be meeting in Washington, DC on Wednesday and Thursday. The main issue for officials is whether to make a second rate cut in 2024, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but political factors will certainly also be on their minds.

Analysis: This US presidential election is crucial for the Fed and its Chairman Powell

The US presidential election will be held on the 5th, with the Democratic Party represented by current Vice President Kamala Harris, and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate, while former US President Donald Trump is running for the Republican Party, with Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate.

In an interview with Business Insider, David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of the Asset Management Division of JPMorgan Chase, stated that if Trump wins, with a Republican sweep, the US will have a more expansionary fiscal policy, which may...

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