Bitcoin hits a new high of 76,400. It is about to enter the 76,600-77,700 oscillation range. Once it reaches 76,000, it means that 73,800 has stabilized. If it breaks through here and stabilizes, the next target will be 80,000. The Fed's interest rate meeting is tonight, and it usually falls when a meeting is held. Leave a small position during the day (for those with relatively low holding costs), and enter a larger position when there is volatility at night, and bottom fish later at night. BTC is currently in a 2-hour death cross, so enter at 73,300, 72,800, and use 72,350 as a replenishment position.
The fallen Aladdin ETH, after falling below 2,800 in August, has returned to 2,800 for the first time today, which is a new beginning. If it breaks through 2,770 and stabilizes, it means it will re-attack 3-4k, and the altcoin bull market will return. Currently, it is only a small-level retracement on the 15-minute chart, and we can only see the depth of the retracement in the evening. For now, lock in 2,770-2,742 to enter a position. This is the starting point for the attack on 3 and 4.
Trump won a big victory, the Republican Party took control of the Senate, and the House of Representatives is currently leading, with the prospect of a sweeping victory; without the constraints of a divided Congress, many of Trump's planned policies can be smoothly implemented; currently, the market is turning to the "Trump Trade" across the board, and it is a trend trade before Trump's formal inauguration on January 20, 2025.
First, Trump's victory in the election is the most important thing, as he has a project that is about to be launched, which can be understood as a DeFi or RWA project. This will help the development and expansion of the crypto sector.
Secondly, the first thing Trump did after being elected was to remove the SEC chairman. Once Gensler, who has suppressed the crypto sector for many years, is gone, the things that the SEC did not allow before may be relaxed, such as institutions buying ETH ETFs for pledging and earning income, and some tokens that the SEC has identified as securities can start paying dividends openly, and some projects that are currently suing the SEC may also be potential beneficiaries.
In summary, the main line for the future is relatively clear, that is, the ETH sector + DeFi + RWA sector, the strongest of the three, such as LDO, ENS, AAVE, etc., combined with the DeFi of competitive public chains like SOL, SUI, APT, such as RAY, CETUS, etc., and then there are the DEX-type potential dividend coins like UNI.
Another hidden line is MEME, but MEME coins are launched too many and too messy, and it is difficult to find a golden dog from them. You can only take it step by step. If you really feel that the on-chain PVP is too difficult, it is better to find some alpha in the big coins, at least you will be cut less, after all, the liquidity of the exchange is continuous.
Bitcoin new high: pay attention to meme, I am most concerned about the targets that survive the PVP on SOL. Altcoins will also have opportunities: VC coins will take advantage of the new highs, and project parties will start to get excited this week, releasing positive news and pumping, which is inevitable, just run before they do.
The most likely sector to break out strongly in this crypto cycle is RWA, where on-chain assets are linked to the real world, forming a closed loop between virtual assets and real assets. This process of on-chain must be backed by a powerful state or government agency, and after Trump takes office, this process may be accelerated, which is the most promising track in the latter half of the bull market, and the reason for today's big rise is not unreasonable, it may just be the beginning.
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