Odaily星球日报讯 由于特朗普的政策意图将如何影响美国经济的关键领域仍存在不确定性，美联储 12 月降息似乎不再是板上钉钉。嘉信理财首席固定收益策略师 Kathy Jones 表示，“在当下，我认为不确定性处于非常高的水平，一切都处于变化之中，并且可能朝着许多不同的方向发展，我认为美联储或许应该暂停一下，稍作休息，说，‘你知道吗，我们需要坐下来观察事态如何发展。’”Jones 表示，她将关注周三发布的美联储 11 月会议纪要，以寻找更多关于决策者意图的线索。（金十）

嘉信理财：美联储或许应该暂停一下，稍作休息

Odaily Odaily News: Due to the uncertainty about how Trump&#39;s policy intentions will affect key areas of the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve&#39;s December rate cut no longer seems to be a foregone conclusion. Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at Charles Schwab, said, &quot;At this moment, I think uncertainty is at a very high level, everything is in flux, and it could go in many different directions. I think the Fed should probably pause, take a break, and say, &#39;You know what, we need to sit back and see how things develop.&#39;&quot; Jones said she will pay attention to the minutes of the Fed&#39;s November meeting, released on Wednesday, for more clues about policymakers&#39; intentions. (Jinshi)

Charles Schwab: The Fed may need to pause and take a break

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The market expects that the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve will be significantly different from that of the European Central Bank next year, as the higher economic growth and inflation expectations in the US will lead to an increasing divergence between the two major economies. Market pricing shows that by the end of next year, the rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be only half that of the European Central Bank, which is facing the problem of weak economic growth and inflation below the target. Jennifer McKeown, Chief Global Economist at <Capital Economics>, said: "We expect the Federal Reserve to take a rather cautious approach due to the rising inflation risks, while the European Central Bank will respond strongly to the economic weakness, leading to a divergence in their easing cycles."

Analysis: If Trump implements his policies, the monetary policies of the US and Europe may diverge greatly

According to the CME "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December is 43.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 56.2%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 56.2%.

The outlook for ETH seems more optimistic.