Odaily星球日报讯 日前公布的美国公布个人消费支出数据符合预期，市场看好 12 月美联储降息的前景，黄金价格在亚洲早盘小幅走高。澳新银行研究分析师在一份研究报告中表示，美国感恩节假期期间，整体市场隔夜表现低迷，大宗商品市场目前预计 12 月降息 25 个基点的可能性为 70%，高于一周前的 56%。与此同时，分析人士称，在俄罗斯导弹袭击乌克兰后，欧洲的地缘政治紧张局势也提振了对避险资产的需求。（金十）

美联储12月降息预期推动金价走高

Odaily Odaily News: The recently released US personal consumption expenditure data was in line with expectations. The market is optimistic about the prospect of the Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate cut in December, and gold prices rose slightly in early Asian trading. ANZ Research analysts said in a research report that the overall market performed poorly overnight during the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the commodity market currently expects a 70% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December, up from 56% a week ago. At the same time, analysts said that geopolitical tensions in Europe after the Russian missile attack on Ukraine also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. (Jinshi)

Gold prices rise on expectations of a December Fed rate cut

ChainCatcher reported that the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, although in line with expectations, rebounded in October compared to September, marking the largest increase since April, supporting the Federal Reserve's more cautious stance on rate cuts, but the market's expectations for a rate cut in December have not been dampened. According to 4E monitoring, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed lower on Wednesday, ending their recent streak of gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.31%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.38%, ending a seven-day winning streak; most large-cap tech stocks declined, U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on Thursday, and will close 3 hours earlier on Friday, as traders seem to be taking profits on the large-cap tech stocks that have performed well this year, causing the Nasdaq to fall 0.60% and lead the three major indexes. Earlier this week, Bitcoin experienced a pullback as some investors took profits as the price approached a historic milestone. On Wednesday, the cryptocurrency market saw a strong rebound, with Bitcoin rising nearly 4.4% in the past 24 hours, Ethereum rising over 10%, boosting cryptocurrency concept stocks, with MicroStrategy up 9.94% and Coinbase up 6.03%. In the foreign exchange and commodity markets, the market was quiet on the eve of Thanksgiving, with the U.S. dollar weakening by about 0.9% to touch a two-week low, and non-U.S. currencies generally rising; news that the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for this Sunday may delay production increase plans supported oil prices, with U.S. oil closing slightly lower on Wednesday and Brent oil roughly flat; gold prices rose on Wednesday, but the gains were limited after data showed inflation progress had stalled, dampening rate cut expectations. Recent data has shown that the process of lowering inflation appears to have stalled, which may limit the Federal Reserve's room for rate cuts in 2025, but is unlikely to affect the Federal Reserve's continued rate cuts at its final monetary policy meeting this year. The market currently sees a nearly 70% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indexes, bulk gold, foreign exchange and other assets, and has recently launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential hedging option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.

4E: US stocks fell collectively before Thanksgiving, and October PCE was in line with expectations, boosting expectations of interest rate cuts

<The Fed's rate hike pace to slow down?>
<Fed officials support a December rate cut>
<FedWatch: Probability of a December rate cut exceeds 60%>

The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to cut rates by one notch in the November meeting, lowering the benchmark interest rate to the 4.50%-4.75% range. And on the evening of yesterday (26th), the Fed officially released the minutes of the November FOMC meeting. At the time, Fed officials stated that they believe inflation is easing, and the risks of a significant slowdown in the economy and the job market have decreased, so they will likely support further...

Federal Reserve's November FOMC meeting: The pace of interest rate cuts may slow down or even be suspended, and the neutral interest rate outlook

According to market news, ECB Governing Council member Villeroy said that there are sufficient reasons for a rate cut in December, and the central bank should maintain an open attitude towards the scale of the rate cut in December, and needs to maintain sufficient flexibility in terms of frequency and magnitude of rate cuts. (Gold Ten)