Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储到 12 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 26%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 74%。到明年 1 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 19.9%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 62.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 17.4%。（金十）

美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为74%，与ADP数据公布前一致

Odaily Odaily reported that according to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot;: the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 26%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 74%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 19.9%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 62.7%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 17.4%. (Jinshi)

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 74%, which is consistent with the situation before the release of ADP data.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Investment bank Stifel economist Lindsey Piegza said that the Federal Reserve is about to suspend policy adjustments, as recent remarks by Chairman Powell reflect the formation of stricter standards in this regard. Federal Reserve officials are increasingly focused on whether economic data exceeds expectations, rather than just on strong economic performance. If the economy continues to show significant stability next year, the Federal Reserve may face challenges regarding potential rate cuts. I expect three more rate cuts next year, bringing rates closer to a neutral level, and lowering rates to 3.75% by the third quarter, which is a reasonable neutral level. As for this year, if the December data meets expectations, I believe the Federal Reserve will make the third round of rate cuts.

Analysts: The Fed may suspend policy adjustments and may cut interest rates three times next year

According to the Odaily Planet Daily report, William Williams, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said on Monday that as inflationary pressures continue to ease, the Federal Reserve may further lower its target interest rate. In a speech at a meeting of the Queens Chamber of Commerce in New York, Williams said: "Monetary policy remains in a restrictive range to support the goal of a sustainable return of inflation to 2%." Looking ahead, "I expect that as time goes on, it will be appropriate to move towards a more neutral policy setting," Williams said, adding that the policy path will depend on the data. If we've learned anything over the past five years, it's that the outlook remains highly uncertain. Williams did not provide clear guidance on the timing of a rate cut or whether he believes the Federal Reserve will lower its target interest rate at this month's FOMC meeting.

Fed's Williams: Expect the Fed to cut interest rates further

According to <Bitwise advanced investment strategist Juan Leon>, the discount on <BTC> in Korean <crypto exchanges> reflects the "stagnation" of liquidity within centralized venues.

Written by: BitpushNews

<Political black swan>, it comes just like that.

Affected by the martial law crisis in Korea, the Korean won and Korean stocks plummeted, and the <BTC> price on Korea's largest <crypto exchange> Upbit once plunged to $61,600. Upbit data shows that after the martial law news, the exchange rate of <BTC> against the Korean won (KRW) plummeted from 130 million won to 9,360...