The editor's AI Agent Alpha methodology: Taking Max and Alchemist AI as examples, why is the combination of "platform + market" more popular?

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TechFlow
20 hours ago
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Here is the English translation of the text, with the specified translations applied:
The former makes products, the latter buys and sells products.

Author: TechFlow

It's another week dominated by the AI Agent sector, have you found the Alpha?

Top tokens like ai16z and Fartcoin have been rising, while at the bottom you can even see hundreds of self-proclaimed AI Agent tokens appearing on the monitoring list at the same time.

With so many, how do you choose?

If you are not a professional P-trader, opening sniper, or a networking master in the crypto industry, apart from envying others' win rate, energy management and information density, and becoming a buyer after FOMO, how can you judge whether a project has a future?

From the perspective of an ordinary investor, you may not have a reliable judgment handle.

In the process of selecting content materials and observing the market, the editor who has been losing money for years also has a similar sense of powerlessness - unable to see through, unable to get in, unable to recover the principal, and unable to find the complete ins and outs.

Every moment of the market is vague and chaotic, but every now and then there seems to be a clear pulse.

Obviously, an ordinary editor trying to take the pulse of the entire market will be laughed at; the following thoughts are just for sharing, and the folk remedies have at least cured the editor's own loss-making disease to a certain extent.

Differentiation of AI Agent tracks: applications to the left, platforms to the right

First, from the overall market perspective, the AI Agent track has certainly been a hot track in the recent one or two weeks. Especially yesterday, when OKX launched the GOAT spot, it also boosted the enthusiasm of the entire AI Agent track.

But apart from the unsustainable across-the-board rise, the projects that have been emerging in the AI Agent track recently have gradually shown a sense of differentiation:

  • Differentiation 1: It is a dedicated AI Agent application, solving a certain type of specific problem, or having a certain type of specific identity/style

Representative projects: AIXBT, Truth Terminal

  • Differentiation 2: It is not a dedicated AI Agent application, but it gives you a shovel to create more new applications

Representative projects: Virtuals, ai16z (Eliza framework), Empyreal SDK

Roughly speaking, this is actually a kind of evolution from applications to platforms: from AI Agents being able to issue a token, to having a platform/tool that allows more AI Agents to issue tokens.

Of course, this argument is not entirely accurate. In addition to Launchpad, some tools are not for AI Agents to issue tokens, but provide an environment for AI Agents to be better used and more usable. Essentially, this type is still not a single-point application logic, but a platform and ecosystem logic:

More usable, more capable, the tokenized tokens will have more reasons for endorsement, and are also more likely to be favored by capital speculation.

In fact, this logic may just be a replay of history.

In 2017, ICOs were popular, and every project could issue tokens through ICOs, but in the end, Ethereum actually became the largest ICO platform after ICOs, where various projects could deploy tokens through smart contracts.

Now the popular AI Agents, each Agent can independently issue a token, but there are also framework and platform-type projects that allow everyone to quickly create AI Agents through various low-threshold, no-code or natural language methods.

History never repeats itself, but it rhymes. The core of asset creation has never changed.

Attention drives, capital stirs

Note that the editor is not saying that the platform/framework-type projects in the AI Agent track are stronger than the pure AI Agent applications.

Strength is not determined by the direction of the project, but by the result of the inflow and outflow of market capital. Let's use a more brutal and straightforward proposition to explain - the chips will go to where the "story is told longer".

What does it mean for the story to be told longer?

Of course, we've seen one-day pump-and-dumps, but more often it's a short-lived pump that only lasts 1-2 hours. This type of token can attract a lot of capital in the short term, but will also immediately bleed out as capital withdraws.

From a more easily understandable perspective, it's that the capital thinks, "Your story can't be told for long."

The projects that can tell their stories more persistently can attract more attention. And attention drives heat, while capital stirs the ups and downs.

More specifically:

  • Look at Meme = Look at its angle

  • Look at AI Agent = Look at what it claims to do

So the question becomes, which AI Agents claim to do things that you think they might be able to do for longer?

After looking at so many projects, the editor feels that the current AI Agents can be roughly divided into the following categories in terms of what they do (the original classification inspiration comes from this article):

  1. Personalized imitators

Simulate intelligence and mimic human behavior through dialogue. Their work is not to solve problems, but to make people feel their own personality and humanity.

For this type of Agent, personality is their own brand.

Typical representative: Bully, a BOT with a toxic tongue

  1. Efficiency-seeking overseers

Analyze complex workflows and precisely convert human intentions into backend processes. This type may not have personality, but they must have efficiency, and can save you time or solve specific problems.

Typical representative: Simmi AI, one tweet to help you issue a token

  1. Autonomous experimenters

Manage wallets, interact with systems, and even start tasks without human input. But their autonomy is limited, waiting to be triggered, rather than the completely sci-fi ability to act on their own.

Typical representative: Truth Terminal, the beginning of everything

  1. Platforms/frameworks supporting the above categories

You can either be a toxic-tongued AI or a Bot that helps you issue a token with one sentence, no matter what your motivation is, but you can't escape some necessary components:

To make an AI Agent, you need to invest in models, data, and prompts; to issue an AI token, you need a Launchpad.

Typical representatives: Virtuals (Launchpad), Eliza (production framework)

If you sort the current track tokens by market cap, you'll find that the top projects basically can't escape this classification.

So, which of the above categories of projects do you think will tell their stories longer?

First, in addition to the above projects, for pure external event/IP-driven projects, if the event itself is a single-point occurrence, then its influence and persistence will decline, and the token itself will bleed out faster. For example, the Ban Big Banana is a very obvious example, and Luce also shows some signs of decline.

And within the AI Agent track:

  • Projects that can create their own assets internally, due to the relatively multi-point concept of UGC-generated assets (Agents), their influence and persistence will come in waves, because they can always spawn a new Agent using their platform every now and then. In terms of assets, their own tokens will have ups and downs, but still spiral upwards, with the mother token market cap at a high level, and several top AI Agents spawned.

  • Projects that can continuously output content, as the Agent applications themselves are constantly chatting and dialoguing, will strengthen their own personalized brand, and if you find them interesting, talkative, and have wealth codes, you will continue to pay attention. And attention means buy orders, so you can see their rise.

Here is the English translation of the text, with the specified terms translated as instructed: However, between these two, the latter is more easily cornered, such as the Bully AI you first think of, causing your attention to focus on just a few Agents, and the probability of success is far lower than that of the platform type. Therefore, playing the AI Agent track, you generally need to have a good concept, a concept (framework/programming platform/token issuance platform...) that can create more assets, and the capital for this type of project seems to have higher sustainability.

MAX and Alchemist AI, examples of platform+market gameplay

The above is some of the author's methodology when looking at projects, which may not be entirely correct, but can provide a certain reference for the project screening criteria. If you follow the idea of finding a platform/framework, you will find that there have been at least 2 projects worth noting in the past week, and they have both adopted the "platform+market" combination. (Note: NFA, not a paid promotion, just sharing the projects I've seen) Platform: A platform that helps you quickly build AI Agents, or use AI Agents to quickly create products Market: The products you create can be traded on the built-in market, further driving activity and platform heat 1. $MAX and Distilled AI, front-store back-end model CA: oraim8c9d1nkfuQk9EzGYEUGxqL3MHQYndRw1huVo5h Market cap: $28M (around 500% increase from $6M on Monday) MAX itself is a female AI Agent image that you can directly engage in dialogue with. However, her unique personality is that she is a BTC bull, and when you chat with her, she will constantly promote the benefits of Bitcoin to you; at the same time, she also has a built-in Bitcoin prediction market, where you can click on her avatar to jump to this prediction market page and use $MAX tokens to predict and bet on the future price of Bitcoin. AI Agent and betting asset gameplay is fully loaded. However, MAX is just an AI Agent, and the real driver of the recent surge in its token market value from $6M to around $28M is more from the front-store back-end model behind it: Using MAX itself to first attract traffic, and then allowing more people to use the AI Agent creation platform behind it (click to visit). The platform creation behind MAX actually comes from Distilled AI, which is a decentralized protocol that provides developers with access to confidential computing, private data processing, distillation protocols, data DAOs, and secure access management infrastructure. The protocol is also supported by another L1 focused on AI, Oraichain. With Distilled AI, developers can build advanced applications that require AI agents not only to learn from private data in individual and collective settings with absolute data privacy, but also to autonomously execute various operations in Web3. This model is very similar to the relationship between Luna and Virtuals. However, the Distilled platform currently does not have a native token, and all value transfer on the platform is done using the $MAX token. And you can find more different types of Agents on the Distilled AI Marketplace, similar to an built-in store for GPT. Currently, using other Agents on this market does not require payment, but all agents themselves need to hold and stake $MAX to work; it is not ruled out that there may be other relationships with $MAX and the platform's native token in the future. 2. $ALCH (Alchemist AI), a no-code application generation platform using only text description Market cap: $130M (around 500% increase from $27M on Monday) CA: HNg5PYJmtqcmzXrv6S9zP1CDKk5BgDuyFBxbvNApump If the MAX example is a complete copy of Virtuals, then this Alchemist AI has a different approach: You don't need to create different AI Agents, but use the public AI capabilities to create different applications and products. The project name itself already explains the function, which is to "alchemize" through your natural language input, and the Alchemist AI system behind it will automatically help you process and generate the corresponding work. The whole process is also very simple, connect your wallet, input the description of the application you want, and the platform will run for a while and generate the corresponding program for you (e.g. the screenshot where the author tried to generate a game). Of course, you can also download this work, or further optimize it through dialogue with the AI on the platform. In fact, the concept of "no-code development platforms" is not new, but when placed in the crypto market's AI Agent track, it is another breakthrough, using the same AI capabilities to create different works, which actually has great value for community dissemination. From the community feedback, people have played Alchemist in a variety of ways, even creating a Solana on-chain meme screening and analysis evaluator through the platform: In fact, this is not much different from calling GPT's capabilities to create more scenario-oriented applications, except that Alchemist has its own front-end page, and can also gain more traffic value through operational events and community promotion. Here, the role of the ALCH token is: 1. If you want to create higher precision and better quality works, you can consume ALCH to enable the paid mode, and the AI-generated results will be better. 2. Consume a certain amount of ALCH tokens to list your own created works on the built-in market. 3. Others need to pay ALCH to use your products. This is also a platform+market logic, that is, first provide you with a usable product development platform, and then carry the circulation and transfer of works on the token, giving the token more value. However, the current project page and AI implementation effects are still a bit rough, and the project is also upgrading to the V2 version. But the market cap of ALCH has reached over $100M within a week, which shows the market's recognition of what it is trying to do. Overall, the above two examples have both adopted the platform+market gameplay, the former for product creation, and the latter for product trading. But this does not mean that projects that gather these two elements will definitely rise. This is just a sample provided to help everyone better judge and screen the value of the AI projects that come out every day. There is no invincible general in the crypto market, and finding Alpha is still a long and arduous journey.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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