Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储到 12 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 4.6%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 95.4%。到明年 1 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 3.8%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 79.9%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 16.3%。

美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为95.4%

According to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Odaily&quot;, the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 4.6%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 95.4%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 3.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 16.3%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 95.4%.

According to the article by Nick Timiraos, the renowned journalist known as the "Fed whisperer" of The Wall Street Journal, the Federal Reserve's rate cut plans are constantly changing, and investors generally expect a third consecutive rate cut this week. After that, officials are prepared to slow down or even stop cutting rates. Timiraos said Powell is trying to find the right positioning amid signs that the labor market is not as volatile and inflation is slightly more stable than in September. Some officials have expressed doubts about further rate cuts, and those who previously strongly supported the first two rate cuts are no longer as confident. One option this week is to cut rates by 25 basis points and then use the new economic forecasts to strongly suggest that the central bank is prepared to cut rates more slowly.

"Federal Reserve megaphone": After the December rate cut, officials may be ready to slow down or even stop rate cuts

The Wall Street strategist and president of research firm Yardeni Research, Ed Yardeni, said that the general expectation is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but this may be a bad idea.

"One of the things we've heard recently from Fed Chairman Powell is that 'the economy is strong, we don't need to rush to cut rates.' If that's the case, then why do something this week?" Yardeni asked on CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Monday morning.

Federal funds futures are forecasting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again...

Wall Street strategist: The Fed should not cut interest rates this week, otherwise there will be a market bubble

Odaily reports that BTC has hit a new all-time high of $105,000, rising 20% in the past month. Analysts point out that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates next week, and there are also rumors that Trump may use BTC as a reserve asset for the US from "day one". (Cointelegraph)