Odaily星球日报讯 美联储点阵图显示，2025 年底联邦基金利率预期中值为 3.9%。（9 月预期为 3.4%）2026 年底联邦基金利率预期中值为 3.4%。（9 月预期为 2.9%）（金十）

美联储点阵图显示2025年底联邦基金利率预期中值为3.9%

Odaily Odaily: The Fed&#39;s dot plot shows that the median forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of 2025 is 3.9%. (The forecast in September was 3.4%) The median forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026 is 3.4%. (The forecast in September was 2.9%) (Jinshi)

The Fed's dot plot shows that the median forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of 2025 is 3.9%

Odaily Odaily reports that according to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged in December is 4.6%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 95.4%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 3.8%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 79.9%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 16.3%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 95.4%.

Odaily reports that according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the market currently believes the probability of the Fed announcing a 25-basis-point rate cut tonight (3 am on the 19th) is 98.8%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged at 4.5%-4.75% is only 1.2%.

Before the interest rate decision was announced, the market believed that the probability that the Fed would announce a 25 basis point rate cut was 98.8%.

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