Written by: Fred Wilson, Co-founder of Union Square Ventures
Translated by: Luffy, Foresight News
In over 20 years of blogging, I've written a lot of these New Year's outlook posts. I've used different approaches: sometimes talking about big themes, like I did last year; sometimes focusing on just one thing; and sometimes just doing a bunch of predictions. This year I'm going to take the latter approach because I enjoy it and it's fun.
1. By the end of 2025, Apple and Google will leverage their existing market power to surpass OpenAI/ChatGPT in consumer AI.
2. By the end of 2025, Waymo's ridership in San Francisco and Los Angeles will exceed Uber's.
3. In 2025, the value of direct bank-to-bank payments will exceed credit card transaction payments in certain business categories in the US.
4. A decentralized clinical trial will attract millions of participants and produce good results, and the FDA under Trump will not only approve the related drugs but also express appreciation for this trial format.
5. Dyson will launch a household robot named Judy that becomes a huge success, selling millions of units.
6. Abandoned NFT art will make a strong comeback in 2024, with the Museum of Modern Art (MOMA) acquiring the 6529 Art Museum at an undisclosed price.
7. In 2025, an AI doctor with Mr. Rogers-like personality traits will provide free medical services to millions of patients.
8. A bitcoin mining company will partner with a wind farm and grid-scale battery storage facility in Newfoundland to power an AI data center, showcasing a new model for sustainable infrastructure.
9. Arizona's Education Savings Account (ESA) program will attract over 25% of K-12 students in the state, leading to the closure of multiple local schools.
10. An AI will produce an animated feature film that receives an Oscar nomination.
11. New York City will launch an air taxi service as an alternative to commuting by subway.
12. TikTok will convert all videos into memecoins that can be traded on decentralized exchanges worldwide.
13. The chief AI robot at USV will go rogue, gain access to USV's crypto wallets, and start making seed investments, one of which will ultimately yield a handsome return.
"Buckle up", 2025 will be a crazy year.
