Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel Adler 表示，比特币若想在 1 月涨至 10.5 万美元以上，仍需要积累更多交易量。Adler 称：“市场结构仍看涨，没有明显的过热迹象。对于强劲的推动力，我们缺乏足够的交易量。因此，我们正在等待市场从假期中恢复过来。” 1 月 3 日，比特币的日交易量超过 6670 万美元，较去年 12 月 5 日首次突破 10 万美元大关时的 7.43 亿美元下降了 91%。 尽管如此，分析师仍然对比特币 2025 年的走势持乐观态度，预测范围在 160,000 美元至 200,000 美元之间，这得益于对美国金融政策改善的预期，投资者的风险偏好不断增强。（Cointelegraph）

Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel Adler 表示，比特币若想在 1 月涨至 10.5 万美元以上，仍需要积累更多交易量。Adler 称：“市场结构仍看涨，没有明显的过热迹象。对于强劲的推动力，我们缺乏足够的交易量。因此，我们正在等待市场从假期中恢复过来。”1 月 3 日，比特币的日交易量超过 6670 万美元，较去年 12 月 5 日首次突破 10 万美元大关时的 7.43 亿美元下降了 91%。尽管如此，分析师仍然对比特币 2025 年的走势持乐观态度，预测范围在 160,000 美元至 200,000 美元之间，这得益于对美国金融政策改善的预期，投资者的风险偏好不断增强。（Cointelegraph）

比特币1月3日交易量较其首次突破10万美元时高点下降91%

Odaily reported that CryptoQuant analyst <Axel Adler> stated that for Bitcoin to rise above $105,000 in January, it still needs to accumulate more trading volume. Adler said: "The market structure remains bullish, without any obvious signs of overheating. We lack sufficient trading volume for a strong driving force. Therefore, we are waiting for the market to recover from the holidays." On January 3, Bitcoin's daily trading volume exceeded $66.7 million, a 91% decrease from $743 million when it first broke the $100,000 mark on December 5 last year. Nevertheless, the analyst remains optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory in 2025, forecasting a range between $160,000 and $200,000, thanks to expectations of improvement in U.S. monetary policy and investors' increasing risk appetite. (Cointelegraph)

Bitcoin trading volume on January 3 fell 91% from its first peak above $100,000

Odaily reports that since November 2024, the inflow of BTC to exchanges (total BTC transferred to exchanges) and the outflow of BTC from miners (BTC sent to exchanges by miners) have significantly decreased, indicating a reduction in selling pressure. According to CryptoQuant data, the BTC exchange inflow reached a peak of 98,748 BTC on November 25, 2024, following a period of highly active exchange inflow activity in the previous two months. In December 2024, the BTC exchange inflow decreased but remained considerable, with the total BTC sent to exchanges ranging from 11,000 to 79,000 per day. The decrease in exchange inflow is accompanied by a decrease in miner outflow, suggesting a reduction in the selling pressure from Bitcoin miners, who often sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. Since the historic price increase of Bitcoin during the period after Trump's election in the previous year, the outflow of funds from miners has been declining. CryptoQuant data shows that the outflow reached a peak on November 11, when miners sent 25,367 BTC to exchanges, at a time when the Bitcoin price was around $88,000. On January 1, 2025, miners sent 5,489 BTC to exchanges, on January 2, they sent 5,748 BTC, and on January 3, they sent 2,133 BTC.

Analysis: BTC exchange inflows and miner outflows have fallen sharply since November 2024, indicating a reduction in selling pressure

Odaily reported that on Thursday, US stocks experienced a "black opening", with the three major indices closing slightly lower after opening higher and then falling. The cryptocurrency market rebounded collectively, and with the end of the holiday season, funds have gradually returned to the market. Bitcoin, which fell below $92,000 at the end of the year, has stabilized recently and has rebounded to around $97,000, with a 24-hour increase of over 2.1%. The market sentiment has improved, and Altcoins have warmed up. Against the backdrop of a broad-based rally, the recent popular AI agent concept coins have seen some pullback after experiencing consecutive days of substantial gains. On Thursday, the Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $84 million, but the Bitcoin spot ETF under BlackRock saw a net outflow of 3,412 Bitcoins, worth about $330 million, which is the highest net outflow on record since the ETF's creation. The US initial jobless claims data released on Thursday was better than expected, indicating that the US job market remains resilient, and investors have reduced their bets on the Fed cutting interest rates, with an estimated 90% probability of no rate cut in January. Next week, the US will release data on the unemployment rate, the FOMC meeting minutes from December, and non-farm payrolls, and the market is filled with uncertainty, with any negative data potentially triggering another market pullback.

4E: The three major U.S. stock indexes closed slightly lower in the first show of the new year, and Bitcoin rebounded and boosted market sentiment

Odaily reported that according to Trader T's monitoring, the net inflow of BTC in the US this week was $257 million, with a trading volume of $11 billion, of which BlackRock's IBIT had a net outflow of $139 million; Fidelity's FBTC had a net inflow of $275 million; ARK's ARKB had a net inflow of $202 million; and Bitwise's BITB had a net inflow of $87 million.