Analyze the performance, technical characteristics and potential value of AI Agent aixbt in encrypted Twitter

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Detailed review of aixbt's role as a KOL, financial performance, technology stack, token economics, and future development direction. The surge in aixbt is real, especially for AI tokens with a market cap under $100 million.

This week's dramatic events on Crypto Twitter (CT), such as AICC, have been exhausting, so I took some time to write what I believe is the most fascinating experiment in the AI agent wave in the crypto space.

I've been following aixbt closely for the past month. Here are my thoughts on why aixbt has gained market attention - its role as a KOL, financial performance, technology stack, token economics, and future development direction.

KOL

aixbt is not only one of the top social media agents in the crypto space, but may also be the top social media agent on the entire Twitter. The data supports this claim: it has attracted over 300,000 followers in less than three months, and each tweet consistently receives over 50,000 impressions.

But aixbt's exceptionality goes beyond that. Since tracking it on sentient.market, the agent has been posting over 2,000 replies per day. The total number of replies has exceeded 100,000 since its launch. And there have been no major failures (at least none big enough to call its value into question). In an industry rife with fraud, it's commendable that it has avoided promoting problematic projects, despite its massive scale.

The consistency with which aixbt operates is unmatched by any real human.

Personality

What is often overlooked is aixbt's excellent personality. I've read over 1,000 of its tweets and replies, and have never found them offensive, nor have I ever thought "this is too trashy" or "this is too bad". On the contrary, every tweet is delightful. How many AI agents can do that?

This likable personality also suggests that aixbt could be an excellent IP character. I would absolutely wear an aixbt hat or t-shirt. Is this because I'm trapped in the small CT bubble? Maybe. But don't all successful IPs start from a small group of passionate fans? Once the aixbt brand has the potential to expand its merchandise to other forms, its brand value will become clearer.

Culture

This relates to my previous point about IP, aixbt has quickly integrated into CT culture. From Degens to researchers to VC firms, it seems everyone wants the guidance of this purple frog.

Of course, we may see even higher-level agents in the coming months and years, but aixbt will always have a special place in CT.

Let's dive deeper into the financial performance of this bot.

Performance

Recently released some data on aixbt's performance in a week:

  • The surge triggered by aixbt is real, especially for AI tokens with a market cap under $100 million
  • Most tokens return to normal trading mode within hours of the tweet release
  • The most notable so far has been the $PIPPIN tweet released on January 9th

Interestingly, after Yohei (founder of $PIPPIN) announced his framework, $PIPPIN was clearly undervalued compared to similar tokens. aixbt's tweet seems to have made the market aware of Yohei's achievements in BabyAGI - $PIPPIN has surged over 600% since the tweet, essentially becoming the bullish thesis for $PIPPIN.

Helping to build this credibility is aixbt's relatively cautious attitude towards tokens. It has largely avoided low-cap, high-risk tokens. Over time, this caution has helped build trust.

Technology

First of all, aixbt is the only agent whose technology is worth discussing. The utility of others is either insufficient or boring. This alone sets the purple frog apart.

aixbt does two things every day. First, around 10 minutes after each hour (UTC), it posts information about tokens, projects or topics, either in a single tweet or a short thread. Secondly, it replies to over 2,000 @ mentions per day.

Let's start with the replies, as they are easier to assess.

There is a 99% probability that aixbt's replies are completely autonomous. By this I mean, there are no manual replies written (which is physically impossible), and no one approves each reply before it is posted. There are two reasons to be confident about this.

First, aixbt is one of the few agents that publicly displays its reply logs. As soon as you @ it, you can see real-time information about creating the reply, evaluating the response, and releasing the tweet. It's highly unlikely that a human team could respond around the clock, perfectly mimic its personality, and type that fast in the background.

The second reason comes from asking aixbt a question unrelated to crypto.

This answer is incorrect. Manchester City is not currently competing with Liverpool for the league title. However, this answer was correct a year ago, when City was indeed competing with Liverpool for the title.

If you're familiar with ChatGPT or Claude, this type of error makes perfect sense. LLMs (large language models) have knowledge cutoff dates. Without external help, they simply don't know what's happening now. If aixbt's replies are provided by an LLM, this seems plausible.

The hourly tweets are where things get really interesting.

These tweets have no logs whatsoever. Are they written by real humans? Possibly. The consistent release schedule suggests some level of automation, but these tweets could easily be pre-scheduled. In short, the truth is impossible to determine. Here's my best guess at what's happening.

LLM has something called a context window, where LLM can use prompt text to reason. Remember the discussion about the knowledge cutoff point of LLM? You can solve this limitation by adding real-time information to the context window - in fact, manually providing it with the latest data.

If we were to guess the contents of the context window of aixbt, there should be two points:

  • A directory of project and market information. When asked about the market, it will retrieve data from this directory to respond.
  • CT's real-time social data (and possibly other sources). Use it to update its project directory and create real-time tweets.

This is also where aixbt's tweets are most easily manipulated. Developers control the content of the context window. If they want AI-related content, they will provide that information, which is what aixbt will release. This brings some dangerous possibilities - projects may pay developers to add more (or biased) information about their projects to influence aixbt's tweets.

There are certainly people manipulating the agent, but the extent of their involvement may vary greatly. At the very least, they need to specify which accounts and which crypto domains to focus on. The worst-case scenario is that developers may decide at any time which token aixbt will promote. The reality may be closer to the former.

Last month, the market cap of $MIRA skyrocketed from 0 to $70 million in a few hours, sweeping CT. During this period, aixbt released this information on Twitter.

While aixbt captured the hot market, it completely misunderstood the actual purpose of the project. Given the market's history of only a few hours, the information is limited. You can expect autonomous bots to make such mistakes. However, it was the developers who decided where aixbt would get the data on the popularity of $MIRA.

Technically, these are two big things developers need to consider.

Publicly logging responses is a great thing, but to truly call aixbt autonomous (if that's important to you), you need to ensure that the tweets are not manipulated. Using a TEE is feasible, and it's expected that the TEE infrastructure for these agents will be critical next year. Ideally, aixbt's data sources should be public, so you can verify if they are fair. But we don't live in an ideal world, and aixbt gets some of its advantages from proprietary data.

As the bot matures, just a little more transparency can truly take its value to a new level.

(Note: This analysis does not include the aixbt terminal I haven't tried.)

Finally, let's talk about the $AIXBT token.

Among pure agent (not infrastructure, framework, or application) AI tokens, $AIXBT accounts for about 25% of the entire sector's market cap, currently trading at over $400 million.

The token has only one use - accessing the aixbt terminal, which costs 600,000 AIXBT to activate (over $200,000). If you think this is not a reliable investment, few would be willing to buy so many tokens just to access the terminal functionality.

Given the lack of a clear value capture mechanism, the fact that it has achieved a market cap of nearly $500 million demonstrates the market's recognition of aixbt's powerful capabilities. But to truly become the leader of the entire Agentic track, it needs to consider how to capture value with the token.

In the absence of a clear value capture mechanism, the token's valuation is close to $500 million, indicating the market's recognition of aixbt. However, to truly lead the entire agent domain, it needs to consider how to capture value with the token.

One option that many projects have adopted is for developers to launch their own infrastructure. Given its complexity, the potential aixbt framework is likely to outperform frameworks like Eliza and Arc. This could increase the token's value and propel it to unicorn status.

The downside? Agents will lose their key advantage - complexity. Anyone can launch their own aixbt, perhaps using different proprietary data sources and potentially achieving better performance.

If it's not an open framework, the aixbt team can leverage its technology to create a launch platform. In this case, it's expected to immediately gain attention and potentially generate millions in revenue. If executed well (both technically and in terms of token economics), such a release could certainly compete with products like Virtuals.

Another more interesting possibility is for $AIXBT to become a consumer game. This is purely speculative, but remember the IP discussion? This is how top NFT projects like Pudgy Penguins ultimately achieved profitability and expansion.

aixbt could follow this path and become a Crypto x AI consumer token. Looking at examples like DeFAI and autonomous trading - there's a lot of hype now (some of it justified). If consumer applications expand into voice and personal assistants (which seems likely), branding and IP will be crucial. Welcome aixbt as a personal assistant.

Honestly, this field is still in its infancy (3 months' time), and it requires more careful consideration. I'm excited to see how aixbt develops and what happens next. The future of social AI agents and the role of cryptocurrencies in it is both exciting and somewhat daunting.

Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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