Odaily星球日报讯 FXPro 首席市场分析师 Alex Kuptsikevich 表示，风险偏好下降可能会加剧比特币未来的跌势，在负面情景下，比特币可能将回落至 7.4 万美元。但可以肯定的是，自周一“插针”以来，比特币基本上保持了稳定上涨，重回 9 万美元的关键关口也进一步增强了其复苏前景。 此外，虽然周三的关键 CPI 报告将在短期内发挥重要作用，但过于乐观的政策预期可能会在未来几周内令市场感到失望。分析认为，当价格上涨时，抛售主要来自长期持有者获利了结。当价格下跌时，抛售主要来自短期持有者亏损抛售。链上数据显示，最近几天，50%-70%的卖出都是亏损抛售。（Business Insider）

Odaily星球日报讯 FXPro 首席市场分析师 Alex Kuptsikevich 表示，风险偏好下降可能会加剧比特币未来的跌势，在负面情景下，比特币可能将回落至 7.4 万美元。但可以肯定的是，自周一“插针”以来，比特币基本上保持了稳定上涨，重回 9 万美元的关键关口也进一步增强了其复苏前景。此外，虽然周三的关键 CPI 报告将在短期内发挥重要作用，但过于乐观的政策预期可能会在未来几周内令市场感到失望。分析认为，当价格上涨时，抛售主要来自长期持有者获利了结。当价格下跌时，抛售主要来自短期持有者亏损抛售。链上数据显示，最近几天，50%-70%的卖出都是亏损抛售。（Business Insider）

FXPro首席分析师：比特币自本周一“插针”以来保持稳定上涨，市场复苏前景得到增强

Odaily reports that FXPro's chief market analyst, Alex Kuptsikevich, stated that a decline in risk appetite could exacerbate the future decline of Bitcoin, and in a negative scenario, Bitcoin could fall back to $74,000. However, it can be confirmed that since the "needle insertion" on Monday, Bitcoin has basically maintained a stable upward trend, and the return to the key $90,000 mark has further strengthened its recovery prospects. In addition, while the key CPI report on Wednesday will play an important role in the short term, overly optimistic policy expectations may disappoint the market in the coming weeks. The analysis believes that when prices rise, the main selling comes from long-term holders taking profits, and when prices fall, the main selling comes from short-term holders selling at a loss. On-chain data shows that in the past few days, 50%-70% of the selling has been at a loss.

Odaily reports that FXPro's chief market analyst, Alex Kuptsikevich, stated that a decline in risk appetite could exacerbate the future decline of Bitcoin, and in a negative scenario, Bitcoin could fall back to $74,000. However, it can be confirmed that since the "needle insertion" on Monday, Bitcoin has basically maintained a stable upward trend, and the return to the key $90,000 mark has further enhanced its recovery prospects. In addition, while the key CPI report on Wednesday will play an important role in the short term, overly optimistic policy expectations may disappoint the market in the coming weeks. The analysis suggests that when prices rise, the main selling comes from long-term holders taking profits, and when prices fall, the main selling comes from short-term holders selling at a loss. On-chain data shows that in the past few days, 50%-70% of the selling has been loss-selling. (Business Insider)

FXPro Chief Analyst: Bitcoin has maintained a steady rise since the "pin" on Monday, and the market recovery prospects have been strengthened

Odaily report: Market analysts say that the Bitcoin decline in January is not uncommon for BTC. Therefore, the bull market may recover, and according to a key technical indicator, the Bitcoin price may reach its peak in mid-July 2025. Bitcoin trader and analyst Dave the Wave said that although the price has fallen 14% from its all-time high, the 52-week simple moving average (SMA) shows that BTC still has room for upside. Rekt Capital said that the continued consolidation of Bitcoin prices is part of the "first price discovery correction", occurring between the 6th and 8th weeks of the parabolic phase. These corrections last 2 to 4 weeks. Analyst Axel Adler Jr. said that the current decline in Bitcoin is not as severe as the previous consolidation phase, in which BTC fell more than 26% between July 29 and August 5, 2024. (Cointelegraph)

Technical indicators predict Bitcoin may reach cycle top in summer 2025

Odaily reports that due to speculation that the Federal Reserve's window for further rate cuts is about to close, Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market have not had a stable start to the year. Charlie Morris, Chief Investment Officer at ByteTree Asset Management, said that it is meaningless to try to predict a market turnaround before the market understands the true meaning of the Trump administration, although it can be expected that the Trump administration will support <Dai>, it is still impossible to escape the fact that major financial market prices are high and the technology sector is still vulnerable to corrections. Katie Stockton, a technical analyst at Fairlead Strategies LLC, pointed out that Bitcoin is currently in an "adjustment phase", and market trends indicate that Bitcoin may test the "downward" support level of $87,500. (Bloomberg)

Analyst: Bitcoin is still in the "adjustment phase" and may test the downward support level of $87,500

Odaily reports that due to the longer settlement period, the trading price of Bitcoin futures monthly contracts is usually higher than the spot market. Currently, the 11% annualized premium exceeds the 5% to 10% neutral range, reflecting that market participants remain relatively optimistic. Similarly, the funding rate of the perpetual <Dai> contract favored by retail traders also remains positive, indicating a neutral to positive market sentiment. Laevitas data shows that the demand for short positions increased yesterday, and the financing rate briefly turned negative, but the indicator quickly returned to normal, indicating that there is no persistent bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin futures market. The analysis suggests that traders must consider the risks associated with a potential global economic slowdown, as uncertainty prompts investors to shift to cash positions. Regardless of the measures taken by Trump, the fiscal outlook for the US in 2025 may still be challenging, and the risk of a recession remains, which could dampen short-term interest in <BTC>, as investors prioritize safety over perceived risk assets. (Cointelegraph)

FXPro Chief Analyst: Bitcoin has maintained a steady rise since the "pin" on Monday, and the market recovery prospects have been strengthened

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