ChainCatcher 消息，据 The Block 报道，随着当选总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）为 1 月 20 日的第二次就职做准备，比特币衍生品市场预示着波动性的预期将会增加。 来自 Derive.xyz 衍生品交易所的数据显示出中期前景的看跌预期迹象，比特币看跌期权已增加至 Derive 上所有未平仓合约的 40%，在过去一周大幅上升。 比特币的隐含波动率也在攀升，凸显了市场的不确定性。过去一周，比特币的 7 天平价 IV 上涨了 3%，达到 56.5%，而 30 天 IV 增加了 1.5%，目前为 57.5%。

ChainCatcher 消息，据 The Block 报道，随着当选总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）为 1 月 20 日的第二次就职做准备，比特币衍生品市场预示着波动性的预期将会增加。来自 Derive.xyz 衍生品交易所的数据显示出中期前景的看跌预期迹象，比特币看跌期权已增加至 Derive 上所有未平仓合约的 40%，在过去一周大幅上升。比特币的隐含波动率也在攀升，凸显了市场的不确定性。过去一周，比特币的 7 天平价 IV 上涨了 3%，达到 56.5%，而 30 天 IV 增加了 1.5%，目前为 57.5%。

分析：特朗普就职典礼前夕比特币衍生品市场波动加剧

According to The <Block>, as President-elect Donald Trump prepares for his second inauguration on January 20, the Bitcoin derivatives market is signaling expectations of increased volatility. Data from the Derive.xyz derivatives exchange shows signs of a bearish medium-term outlook, with Bitcoin put options now accounting for 40% of all open contracts on Derive, a significant increase in the past week. Bitcoin's implied volatility is also on the rise, underscoring market uncertainty. Over the past week, Bitcoin's 7-day at-the-money IV has risen by 3% to 56.5%, while the 30-day IV has increased by 1.5% to 57.5%.

According to The Block, as President-elect Donald Trump prepares for his second inauguration on January 20, the Bitcoin derivatives market is signaling expectations of increased volatility.Data from the Derive.xyz derivatives exchange shows signs of a bearish medium-term outlook, with Bitcoin put options now accounting for 40% of all open contracts on Derive, rising significantly in the past week.Bitcoin's implied volatility is also on the rise, underscoring market uncertainty. Over the past week, Bitcoin's 7-day at-the-money IV has risen 3% to 56.5%, while the 30-day IV has increased 1.5% to 57.5%.

Analysis: Bitcoin derivatives market volatility rises ahead of Trump inauguration

According to the report from Gold Ten, the price of Bitcoin rose slightly today, but remained below $100,000 after falling from the record high reached last month. In a report, Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick stated: "Caution may be the best approach for digital assets in the next week or so." He said that the US inflation data tonight may be stickier than expected, and people have high expectations for positive cryptocurrency news after <Donald Trump's> inauguration on January 20th, which poses significant macroeconomic risks. The report predicted that if Bitcoin breaks below the $90,000 support level, it may further drop to $80,000, but this would constitute an "excellent medium-term buying opportunity." Based on <Trump's> support for cryptocurrencies, Standard Chartered maintains its forecast target of $200,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2025.

Standard Chartered analyst: Bitcoin may drop to $80,000 before CPI and Trump's inauguration, which will be an "excellent medium-term buying opportunity"

<PANews>
As President-elect Trump's inauguration on January 20th approaches, leaders in the cryptocurrency and technology industries are preparing to participate in a grand celebration. On January 17th, a cryptocurrency ball will be held in Washington, where David Sacks, the White House's AI and cryptocurrency advisor, will host the VIP reception. Although Trump himself will not attend, top companies and leaders in the cryptocurrency industry have actively contributed over $10 million to the inauguration committee.
</PANews>

As Trump is about to take office, crypto companies have donated more than 10 million US dollars to the inaugural committee. How will the market react?

On January 15, QCP Capital's latest analysis pointed out that it is less than a week until the inauguration of the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump. Trump is scheduled to take office on January 20.

Inflation concerns are still plaguing the US market. The US job market remains strong. With the rise in US bond yields, the US stock market has experienced turbulence, with the S&P 500 index briefly threatening to fall below 5,800 points. Bitcoin has also fallen, briefly dropping below $90,000.

Given the recent economic environment, the macroeconomic situation is not very favorable for risk assets. However, Trump's actual policies often differ greatly from his public rhetoric. Inflation concerns may not be as severe as the market expects.

For cryptocurrencies, officials in the Trump administration are relatively friendly towards cryptocurrencies. Rumors of Trump issuing a broad, friendly cryptocurrency executive order have provided support for the market in the short term, which may help prices rise.

It is expected that the market will experience high volatility around Trump's inauguration, as the market needs to digest and adapt to the new Trump administration. We remain cautious about the downside, as the $90,000 support level for Bitcoin has been tested multiple times. The US stock market also appears fragile, and the rise in global bond yields may lead to more chaotic and erratic market fluctuations.

Analysis: Bitcoin derivatives market volatility rises ahead of Trump inauguration

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