Short-Term Bitcoin Holders “FOMO-Induced” Raise Bullish Outlook
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According to a cryptocurrency analyst, Bitcoin holders continue to accumulate during the price decline, along with short-term holders buying more during the price increase due to FOMO (fear of missing out), creating a "price uptrend melody" for 2025.
Long-term Bitcoin holders (LTH) - those who have held their Bitcoin for more than 155 days - their dominance "remains at a high level, signaling strong long-term confidence," said CryptoQuant's IT Tech analyst in a note on January 24. He said:
"They continue to accumulate during price declines and strategically take profits during price increases."
Holding behavior of short-term holders is setting up a "price uptrend melody" for 2025
Meanwhile, IT Tech said short-term Bitcoin holders - those who have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days - appear more confident in buying when the market is rising, making him more optimistic about the Bitcoin price in the next 12 months.
He said short-term holders jumping in the most when Bitcoin prices rise is a sign that they are "participating due to fear of missing out."
He said: "Speculative short-term holders will create an uptrend for 2025."
Throughout January, the Bitcoin price fluctuated around the psychological $100,000 level, dipping below it a few times but also reaching a new all-time high of $109,000 on January 20, just before the U.S. presidential inauguration.
At the time of writing, the average cost basis of long-term holders is $24,639 per Bitcoin, indicating they have over four times in profits, according to Bitbo data.
According to CoinMarketCap data, the current Bitcoin price is $104,390.
The realized price of short-term holders is $90,541. Checkonchain data shows that 80% of short-term holders have returned to profitability after Bitcoin recovered above $100,000.
LTH's profit-taking creates accumulation opportunities
Meanwhile, IT Tech explained that the occasional sell-offs by long-term holders are not a cause for concern, as they can "create a healthy pullback, providing new accumulation opportunities," he said.
According to a separate analysis on January 24 by CryptoQuant contributor "Crazzyblockk," long-term holders are "largely avoiding significant selling, reinforcing a strong HODLing mentality despite the current market volatility."
The analyst said recent on-chain data shows only 18% of Bitcoin deposits to the Binance cryptocurrency exchange came from long-term holders.
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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