BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes was interviewed on 3/14 and stated that he believes Donald Trump and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent may be deliberately creating an economic recession to force the Federal Reserve (FED) to cut interest rates and increase market liquidity. He also said that the world's major economies will ultimately reopen the money printing mode, driving up asset prices, and he also predicted that BTC will break through $250K by the end of 2025.

Bit price short-term adjustment, waiting for government to launch QE to drive up Bit price

Hayes said that the current market situation is similar to the post-2008 financial crisis, when the government will choose to print money to rescue the market, which is the starting point for BTC to soar. He pointed out:

• In the short term, market liquidity will decrease and the BTC price may adjust.
• In the long run, central banks in various countries will ultimately restart the QE policy, pushing up asset prices, and BTC will also benefit.
• If the U.S. stock market experiences a 20-30% pullback, the FED will intervene to provide more liquidity.

Hayes said that BTC and ETH are still the core assets of the market, and he will hold them for the long term, while also adjusting the positions of Shitcoins.

The current crypto market has no explosion point, the market will readjust the order

Regarding the market trend in the next one to two years, Hayes currently does not see any particularly promising market explosion points. He believes:

• The over-hyped crypto projects in the past few years will face large-scale adjustments, such as many newly listed coins with high market capitalization, which may plummet.
• The market will return to the ICO model of 2013-2017, and more reasonably priced tokens will appear in the market, attracting capital inflows.

Facing liquidity tightening, global governments will restart money printing to rescue the market

Hayes observed that major economies around the world are currently tightening monetary policy, but this is only a temporary situation:

• U.S.: The FED may temporarily maintain high interest rates, but if the stock market crashes, it will be forced to cut interest rates and restart QE.
• Europe: Germany and the EU are considering issuing bonds to fund military construction and infrastructure, driving more capital into the market.
• China: Currently observing, but will ultimately introduce policies to stimulate the economy.
• Japan: Attempting to raise interest rates, but if the market faces a crisis, it may return to a low-interest rate policy.

"We are currently in the stage of clearing market bubbles, but by the third or fourth quarter of 2025, governments around the world will restart large-scale money printing. At that time, BTC will enter the bull market again."

BTC is expected to reach $250K by the end of this year, money printing is the key to the rise

When asked about the long-term trend of BTC, Hayes still firmly believes that BTC will continue to rise, and may even break through $250K by the end of 2025, and money printing will be the clearest entry signal. He believes:

1. Governments around the world will eventually restart money printing, which is beneficial to BTC.
2. Policies such as U.S. priority and national supply chain reshoring will drive up inflation, forcing the government to print money to cope.
3. When the market is turbulent, the government's response measure has always been to print money to rescue the market, and BTC will become the best hedge asset.

(BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes: Patiently waiting, BTC may adjust to $70,000)